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Grifols, S.A. (GRFS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $8.20 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.

Grifols, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and marketing of plasma-derived medicines in the United States, Canada, Spain, Europe, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Biopharma, Diagnostic, Bio Supplies,... Read more

$8.20+15.0% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#6 of 16 Drug Manufacturers - General
Stop $7.74Target $9.43(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.7:1
Analyst target$11.10+35.4%2 analysts
$9.43our TP
$8.20price
$11.10mean
$12

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $8.20 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 90d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.5
P/E (Fwd)5.4
Mkt Cap$5.4B
EV/EBITDA9.7
Profit Mgn5.3%
ROE6.2%
Rev Growth0.3%
Beta1.21
Dividend2.22%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.52bullish
IV99%elevated
Max Pain$13+58.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
3.4
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 90d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $7.86Resistance $8.83

Price Targets

$8
$9
A.Upside+15.0%
A.R:R2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (90d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GRFS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $8.20 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $7.74. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GRFS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.43 (+15.0% upside). Prior stop was $7.74. Stop-loss: $7.74.

What are the risks of investing in GRFS?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum.

Is GRFS overvalued or undervalued?

Grifols, S.A. trades at a P/E of 11.5 (forward 5.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GRFS?

21 analysts cover GRFS with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $11.

What does Grifols, S.A. do?Grifols, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and marketing of...

Grifols, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and marketing of plasma-derived medicines in the United States, Canada, Spain, Europe, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Biopharma, Diagnostic, Bio Supplies, and Others. The company offers various hemoderivatives from human plasma for immunology, infectious diseases, hepatology, intensive care, pulmonology, hematology, and neurology treatment areas; and markets diagnostic testing equipment, reagents, and other equipment, as well as provides transfusion medicine, clinical diagnostics, and testing services. It also offers biological products, including albumin, albumin-derived products, immunoglobulins, thrombin, other proteins, and intermediate plasma products to pharma and biotech companies for biopharma use; and whole blood, blood components, processed plasma, and clinical samples to life-science research and in-vitro diagnostic companies for diagnostic use. In addition, the company provides healthcare solutions for hospitals, such as intravenous solutions to maintain or restore fluids and electrolyte balance in patients; high-tech solutions to automate hospital processes; clinical nutrition to deliver nutrition and medication; and medical devices comprising instrumentation and disposable materials for various hospital services, which include interventional neuroradiology, hemodynamics, urology, anesthesiology and cardiovascular surgery, as well as manufacturing services to third parties and research activities. Further, it is involved in engineering services; packaging, labelling, storage, distribution, manufacturing, and development of pharmaceutical products; import, export, and commercialization activities; travel agency services; reinsurance of insurance policies; support services; law business; and consultation, administration, and financing services. The company was founded in 1909 and is headquartered in Barcelona, Spain.

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