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Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate Confidence

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. At $138.04, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.3%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5.

Nebius Group N.V., a technology company, engages in building full-stack infrastructure to service the global AI industry in the Netherlands, Europe, North America, and Israel. The company offers Nebius builds full-stack infrastructure for AI, including large-scale GPU clusters,... Read more

$138.04+7.3% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#20 of 27 Internet Content & Information
Stop $128.41Target $148.15(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$170.29+23.4%14 analysts
$148.15our TP
$138.04price
$170.29mean
$85
$291

Sell if holding. At $138.04, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.3%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.3%
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)1283.5
P/E (Fwd)-138.9
Mkt Cap$35.7B
EV/EBITDA-192.2
Profit Mgn19.2%
ROE0.7%
Rev Growth500.8%
Beta1.06
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.94neutral
IV103%elevated
Max Pain$55-60.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.6
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
4.6
Growth Rank
10.0
Industry growth leader
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $96.19Resistance $168.71

Price Targets

$128
$148
A.Upside+7.3%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.5:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NBIS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $138.04, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.3%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $128.41. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NBIS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $148.15 (+7.3% upside). Prior stop was $128.41. Stop-loss: $128.41.

What are the risks of investing in NBIS?

Thin upside margin: 7.3%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Is NBIS overvalued or undervalued?

Nebius Group N.V. trades at a P/E of 1283.5 (forward -138.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NBIS?

20 analysts cover NBIS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $170.

What does Nebius Group N.V. do?Nebius Group N.V., a technology company, engages in building full-stack infrastructure to service the global AI...

Nebius Group N.V., a technology company, engages in building full-stack infrastructure to service the global AI industry in the Netherlands, Europe, North America, and Israel. The company offers Nebius builds full-stack infrastructure for AI, including large-scale GPU clusters, cloud platforms, and tools and services for developers. It also provides Toloka, a data partner for various stages of generative AI development; TripleTen, an edtech platform for re-skilling individuals for careers in technolgy; and Avride, which develops autonomous driving technology for self-driving cars and delivery robotics. Nebius Group N.V. has a strategic alliance with NVIDIA Corporation to accelerate physical AI development and an end-to-end platform for robotics simulation and training. The company was formerly known as Yandex N.V. and changed its name to Nebius Group N.V. in August 2024. Nebius Group N.V. was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

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