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NBISNebius Group N.V.Sell4.5·$264.08+1.54%
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Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $264.08 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings expected to decline ~86% (cyclical peak).

Nebius Group N.V., a technology company, engages in building full-stack infrastructure to service the global AI industry in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It offers Nebius builds full-stack infrastructure for AI, including large-scale GPU clusters,... Read more

$264.08+3.1% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#25 of 27 Internet Content & Information
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-9.31%
Stop $246.54Target $273.26(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$244.07-7.6%14 analysts
$273.26our TP
$264.08price
$244.07mean
$120
$380

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $264.08 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings expected to decline ~86% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.77)
Risks
Earnings expected to decline ~86% (cyclical peak)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.9% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)100.0
P/E (Fwd)720.0
Mkt Cap$66.0B
EV/EBITDA-1731.2
Profit Mgn93.1%
ROE14.1%
Rev Growth683.9%
Beta1.43
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.80neutral
IV117%elevated
Max Pain$410+55.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Pe
0.0
Analyst Target
3.0
Expensive valuation
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $183.00Resistance $278.84

Price Targets

$247
$273
A.Upside+3.5%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 720x vs trail 100x (7.2x)
! Target reached (-19.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NBIS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $264.08 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings expected to decline ~86% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $246.54. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NBIS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $273.26 (+3.1% upside). Prior stop was $246.54. Stop-loss: $246.54.

What are the risks of investing in NBIS?

Earnings expected to decline ~86% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.9% away).

Is NBIS overvalued or undervalued?

Nebius Group N.V. trades at a P/E of 100.0 (forward 720.0). TrendMatrix value score: 1.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NBIS?

21 analysts cover NBIS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $244.

What does Nebius Group N.V. do?Nebius Group N.V., a technology company, engages in building full-stack infrastructure to service the global AI...

Nebius Group N.V., a technology company, engages in building full-stack infrastructure to service the global AI industry in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It offers Nebius builds full-stack infrastructure for AI, including large-scale GPU clusters, cloud platforms, and tools and services for developers. The company also provides TripleTen, an edtech platform for re-skilling individuals for careers in technolgy; and Avride, which develops autonomous driving technology for self-driving cars and delivery robotics. It has a strategic alliance with NVIDIA Corporation to support the expansion of the company's AI cloud infrastructure. The company was formerly known as Yandex N.V. and changed its name to Nebius Group N.V. in August 2024. Nebius Group N.V. was founded in 1989 and is based in Schiphol, the Netherlands.

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