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NewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V (NAMS) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.45: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 4.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 95.50; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

NewAmsterdam Pharma is a late-stage biopharma with no approved products, focused entirely on obicetrapib, an oral CETP inhibitor for LDL-C lowering in cardiometabolic disease patients. It reported a net loss of $203.8 million in 2025 with $728.9 million in cash; the EMA accepted... Read more

$28.45+51.2% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#88 of 158 Biotechnology
Stop $27.01Target $43.02(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.1:1
Analyst target$49.44+73.8%14 analysts
$43.02our TP
$28.45price
$49.44mean
$61

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.45: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 4.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 95.50; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: obicetrapib
Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-20.7
Mkt Cap$3.3B
EV/EBITDA-11.7
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-28.3%
Rev Growth-99.8%
Beta0.13
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C95.50bearish
IV89%elevated
Max Pain$55+93.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductobicetrapib
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are dependent on the success of our only product candidate, obicetrapib'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 27, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+6.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Rule Of 40
3.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
5.1
Gross Margin
10.0
Cash-burning: FCF -502% of revenueNo competitive moatRule of 40: -602 (fail)
GatesMomentum 1.2<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dA.R:R 4.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
27 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $27.85Resistance $36.73

Price Targets

$27
$43
A.Upside+51.2%
A.R:R4.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 1.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NAMS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.45: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 4.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 95.50; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $27.01. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NAMS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $43.02 (+51.2% upside). Prior stop was $27.01. Stop-loss: $27.01.

What are the risks of investing in NAMS?

Concentration risk — Product: obicetrapib; Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).

Is NAMS overvalued or undervalued?

NewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -20.7). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NAMS?

22 analysts cover NAMS with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $49.

What does NewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V do?NewAmsterdam Pharma is a late-stage biopharma with no approved products, focused entirely on obicetrapib, an oral CETP...

NewAmsterdam Pharma is a late-stage biopharma with no approved products, focused entirely on obicetrapib, an oral CETP inhibitor for LDL-C lowering in cardiometabolic disease patients. It reported a net loss of $203.8 million in 2025 with $728.9 million in cash; the EMA accepted MAAs from partner Menarini for review in August 2025.

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