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NewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V (NAMS) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $35.28: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 1.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.32; Below-average business quality.

NewAmsterdam Pharma is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing obicetrapib, an oral CETP inhibitor for LDL-C lowering in cardiovascular disease patients. The company has no approved products and generates no product revenue; it is funded through equity and operates... Read more

$35.28+22.8% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#80 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-2.86%
Stop $32.93Target $43.47(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$49.96+41.6%14 analysts
$43.47our TP
$35.28price
$49.96mean
$59

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $35.28: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 1.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.32; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — NewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V

Material events (past 30 days)

  • Apr 24, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Louise Kooij, Chief Accounting Officer, agreed to depart effective August 31, 2026. Separation agreement includes 12 months base salary and pro-rated bonus. No successor named.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Pipeline: obicetrapib
Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-26.2
Mkt Cap$3.9B
EV/EBITDA-15.0
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-28.3%
Rev Growth-99.8%
Beta0.03
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.32bearish
IV69%elevated
Max Pain$18-50.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHpipelineobicetrapib
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are dependent on the success of our only product candidate, obicetrapib, and cannot guarantee that obicetrapib will successfully complete clinical development, receive regulatory approval'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-24Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Louise Kooij, Chief Accounting Officer, agreed to depart effective August 31, 2026. Separation agreement includes 12 months base salary and pro-rated bonus. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Rule Of 40
3.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.1
Moat
5.5
Gross Margin
10.0
Cash-burning: FCF -502% of revenueRule of 40: -602 (fail)

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.9
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
GatesMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $27.85Resistance $42.20

Price Targets

$33
$43
A.Upside+23.2%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NAMS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $35.28: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 1.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.32; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $32.93. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NAMS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $43.47 (+22.8% upside). Prior stop was $32.93. Stop-loss: $32.93.

What are the risks of investing in NAMS?

Concentration risk — Pipeline: obicetrapib; Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).

Is NAMS overvalued or undervalued?

NewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -26.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NAMS?

22 analysts cover NAMS with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $50.

What does NewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V do?NewAmsterdam Pharma is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing obicetrapib, an oral CETP inhibitor for...

NewAmsterdam Pharma is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing obicetrapib, an oral CETP inhibitor for LDL-C lowering in cardiovascular disease patients. The company has no approved products and generates no product revenue; it is funded through equity and operates at a net loss ($203.8M in 2025).

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