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Lumen Technologies, Inc. (LUMN) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellHigh Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.57: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Lumen Technologies provides digital networking services to enterprise, government, wholesale, and mass markets customers via a global fiber network spanning 340,000+ route miles; it divested its Mass Markets Fiber-to-the-Home business to AT&T for $5.75 billion, closing February... Read more

$9.57+14.4% A.UpsideScore 3.8/10#39 of 40 Telecom Services
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-19.67%
Stop $8.99Target $11.06(resistance)A.R:R -1.7:1
Analyst target$8.29-13.4%10 analysts
$11.06our TP
$9.57price
$8.29mean
$7
$11

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.57: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Score 3.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Lumen Technologies, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-25.4% upside)
Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-32.4
Mkt Cap$10.0B
EV/EBITDA9.3
Profit Mgn-14.3%
ROE
Rev Growth-8.9%
Beta1.67
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.05bearish
IV86%elevated
Max Pain$2-79.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -8.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.3
Declining revenue: -9%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Unprofitable operations — net margin -14.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Current Ratio
4.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.5
Gross Margin
5.5
Cash-burning: FCF -16% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
1.1
Value Rank
5.0
GatesA.R:R -1.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $8.15Resistance $11.29

Price Targets

$9
$11
A.Upside+15.6%
A.R:R-1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-25.4% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LUMN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.57: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $8.99. Score 3.8/10, high confidence.

What is the LUMN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.06 (+14.4% upside). Prior stop was $8.99. Stop-loss: $8.99.

What are the risks of investing in LUMN?

Target reached (-25.4% upside); Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0).

Is LUMN overvalued or undervalued?

Lumen Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -32.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LUMN?

19 analysts cover LUMN with a consensus score of 2.8/5. Average price target: $8.

What does Lumen Technologies, Inc. do?Lumen Technologies provides digital networking services to enterprise, government, wholesale, and mass markets...

Lumen Technologies provides digital networking services to enterprise, government, wholesale, and mass markets customers via a global fiber network spanning 340,000+ route miles; it divested its Mass Markets Fiber-to-the-Home business to AT&T for $5.75 billion, closing February 2, 2026. The Business segment is being refocused on PCF network solutions, AI backbone connectivity, and dark fiber/wavelength services.

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