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LILAKLiberty Latin America Ltd.Sell5.3·$8.67
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Liberty Latin America's Series C shares offer an optically cheap valuation with a forward P/E of 18.9x and PEG of 0.16, but zero earnings beats in the three most recently confirmed reporting periods, quality metrics below the minimum floor, and an unfavorable reward-to-risk ratio at the current price make a cautious posture appropriate until the earnings track record improves.

Thesis pillars

  • Unfavorable Price Geometry↓Deteriorating
  • Fcf Yield Lone Structural Positive→Stable
  • Zero Earnings Beats Recent Quarters→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 18, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Liberty Latin America Ltd. (LILAK) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthHigh Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Earnings today — results expected after close (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $8.67 — A.R:R is negative (-2.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.6% away).

Liberty Latin America provides fixed, mobile, and subsea telecommunications services across Puerto Rico, Panama, Costa Rica, and 20+ Caribbean and Latin American countries through five reportable segments. Revenue comes from bundled residential video, broadband, telephony, and... Read more

$8.67-29.4% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#25 of 41 Telecom Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield25.39%
Stop $8.11Analyst target $6.12(reached)A.R:R -2.5:1
Analyst consensus$7.20-17.0%2 analysts with price targets
$8.67price
$7.20mean
$5

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $8.67 — A.R:R is negative (-2.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.6% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 31, 2026

Recent Developments — Liberty Latin America Ltd.

Latest item Oct 31, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:59:36Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.6% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)21.1
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA9.0
Profit Mgn-2.2%
ROE-3.7%
Rev Growth1.5%
Beta0.78
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

Max Pain$5-42.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicLatin America and the Caribbean
    10-K Item 1A: 'derive a substantial portion of our revenues from operations in Latin America and the Caribbean'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
3.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/3MEarnings today

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.9
Growth Rank
3.7
Value Rank
6.6
GatesA.R:R -2.5=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $7.67Resistance $8.99

Price Targets

A.Upside-29.4%
A.R:R-2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings today - binary event risk
! Target reached (-29.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LILAK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $8.67 — A.R:R is negative (-2.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.6% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $8.11. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

What is the LILAK stock price target?

Analyst target $6.12 reached (−29.4% from $8.67); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $8.11. Stop-loss: $8.11.

What are the risks of investing in LILAK?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.6% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3).

Is LILAK overvalued or undervalued?

Liberty Latin America Ltd. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 21.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LILAK?

8 analysts rate LILAK, with a consensus score of 2.4/5. 2 analysts publish price targets averaging $7.

What does Liberty Latin America Ltd. do?Liberty Latin America provides fixed, mobile, and subsea telecommunications services across Puerto Rico, Panama, Costa...

Liberty Latin America provides fixed, mobile, and subsea telecommunications services across Puerto Rico, Panama, Costa Rica, and 20+ Caribbean and Latin American countries through five reportable segments. Revenue comes from bundled residential video, broadband, telephony, and mobile subscriptions plus enterprise and wholesale connectivity, serving approximately 6.8 million mobile subscribers and 3.8 million fixed-line RGUs at December 31, 2025.

Related stocks: SIFY (Sify Technologies Limited - Ame) · AD (Array Digital Infrastructure, I) · TIGO (Millicom International Cellular) · IRDM (Iridium Communications Inc) · GLIBA (Liberty Capital Corporation - S)
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