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LifeStance Health Group, Inc. (LFST) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $7.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Elevance Health (15.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: UnitedHealthcare (14.0%).

LifeStance Health operates one of the nation's largest outpatient mental health platforms with 8,040 licensed clinicians in 33 states, treating 1.0M+ unique patients through ~9.0M visits in 2025. Revenue is earned on a per-visit fee-for-service basis, with 90% from commercial... Read more

$7.60+19.6% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#15 of 27 Medical Care Facilities
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.72%
Stop $7.25Target $9.33(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$10.72+41.1%9 analysts
$9.33our TP
$7.60price
$10.72mean
$13

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $7.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Elevance Health (15.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: UnitedHealthcare (14.0%). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — LifeStance Health Group, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Elevance Health (15.0%)
Concentration risk — Customer: UnitedHealthcare (14.0%)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)130.0
P/E (Fwd)19.7
Mkt Cap$3.0B
EV/EBITDA33.0
Profit Mgn1.6%
ROE1.6%
Rev Growth21.2%
Beta1.20
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.75neutral
IV60%elevated
Max Pain$7-7.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerElevance Health15%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Two payors individually exceeded 10% of our total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025: UnitedHealthcare and Elevance Health, Inc., comprising 14% and 15% of our total revenue, respectively'
  • HIGHCustomerUnitedHealthcare14%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Two payors individually exceeded 10% of our total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025: UnitedHealthcare and Elevance Health, Inc., comprising 14% and 15% of our total revenue, respectively'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-11Item 5.02LOW
    Lisa Miller promoted to Chief Operating Officer and Principal Operating Officer effective March 10, 2026. Previously EVP, Practice Operations since February 2024. Internal appointment; no officer departure.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-25Item 5.02LOW
    Kenneth Burdick, Executive Chairman, announced planned transition to non-executive Chairman effective March 16, 2026. Not due to disagreement with management or Board. Will participate in standard non-employee director compensation.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.6
Quality Rank
1.3
Growth Rank
8.9
Industry growth leader
GatesMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $6.76Resistance $8.89

Price Targets

$7
$9
A.Upside+22.8%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LFST stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $7.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Elevance Health (15.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: UnitedHealthcare (14.0%). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $9.33 (+22.8%), stop $7.25 (−4.8%), A.R:R 1.5:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LFST stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.33 (+19.6% upside). Target $9.33 (+22.8%), stop $7.25 (−4.8%), A.R:R 1.5:1. Stop-loss: $7.25.

What are the risks of investing in LFST?

Concentration risk — Customer: Elevance Health (15.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: UnitedHealthcare (14.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1).

Is LFST overvalued or undervalued?

LifeStance Health Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 130.0 (forward 19.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about LFST?

17 analysts cover LFST with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $11.

What does LifeStance Health Group, Inc. do?LifeStance Health operates one of the nation's largest outpatient mental health platforms with 8,040 licensed...

LifeStance Health operates one of the nation's largest outpatient mental health platforms with 8,040 licensed clinicians in 33 states, treating 1.0M+ unique patients through ~9.0M visits in 2025. Revenue is earned on a per-visit fee-for-service basis, with 90% from commercial in-network payors and 5% from government payors.

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