Liberty Global Ltd. (LBTYA) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the LBTYA stock price target?

Take-profit $12.57 (+8.5% upside). Prior stop was $11.01.

Q: What are the risks of investing in LBTYA?

Concentration risk — Supplier: MVNO arrangement with Three; Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -0.8%), High leverage (D/E 5.7); Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -0.8%), High leverage (D/E 5.7).

Q: Is LBTYA overvalued or undervalued?

Liberty Global Ltd. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -8.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about LBTYA?

19 analysts cover LBTYA with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $14.

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Earnings in 1 day (2026-05-01). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

$11.56+8.5% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#35 of 40 Telecom Services

Stop $11.01Target $12.57(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.3:1

Analyst target$14.45+25.0%13 analysts

$12.57our TP

$11.56price

$14.45mean

$10

$25

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.56: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 6.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Concentration risk — Supplier: MVNO arrangement with Three

Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -0.8%), High leverage (D/E 5.7)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)-8.5

Mkt Cap$3.8B

EV/EBITDA10.3

Profit Mgn-146.3%

ROE-63.1%

Rev Growth9.6%

Beta0.80

DividendNone

Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C6.00bearish

IV86%elevated

Max Pain$3-78.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHSupplierMVNO arrangement with Three
10-K Item 1A: 'Currently, our services to mobile customers in Ireland rely on the use of an MVNO arrangement with Three, whereby we utilize the radio access networks of a third-party wireless network provider'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-04-01Item 5.02LOW
Compensation Committee of Liberty Global approved 2026 Performance Award metrics for executive officers on March 26, 2026, with payout of 0%-150% based on revenue, EBITDA, and strategic goal targets. No officer departures cited.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value6.715%1.00

Quality3.115%0.46

Growth4.915%0.73

Momentum2.410%0.24

Sentiment6.010%0.60

Insider Activity3.910%0.39

Peer Rank2.910%0.29

Technical Setup8.15%0.41

Risk Profile4.15%0.20

Catalyst2.55%0.13

Overall (Σ contributions)4.46

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.0

Macd

1.7

Ma Position

4.0

Rsi

5.5

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History

0.0

Surprise Avg

0.0

Erm

5.0

Earnings Timing

5.0

Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 1 days

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank

0.0

Value Rank

5.0

Growth Rank

6.6

Unprofitable operations — net margin -146.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe

0.0

Operating Margin

0.0

Fcf Quality

0.0

Roa

0.1

Rule Of 40

3.0

Current Ratio

4.2

Moat

5.0

Piotroski F

6.7

Gross Margin

9.2

Cash-burning: FCF -8% of revenueNo competitive moatRule of 40: 1 (fail)

GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5A.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

41 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $11.35Resistance $12.86

Price Targets

$11

$13

A.Upside+8.7%

A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -0.8%), High leverage (D/E 5.7)

! Momentum score 2.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

1/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-01 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is LBTYA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.56: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 6.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $11.01. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LBTYA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.57 (+8.5% upside). Prior stop was $11.01. Stop-loss: $11.01.

What are the risks of investing in LBTYA?

Concentration risk — Supplier: MVNO arrangement with Three; Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -0.8%), High leverage (D/E 5.7).

Is LBTYA overvalued or undervalued?

Liberty Global Ltd. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -8.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LBTYA?

19 analysts cover LBTYA with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $14.

What does Liberty Global Ltd. do?Liberty Global provides broadband, video, and mobile telecom services across Europe under brands including Telenet...

Liberty Global provides broadband, video, and mobile telecom services across Europe under brands including Telenet (Belgium) and Virgin Media (Ireland), with 50% JVs in the U.K. (Virgin Media O2) and Netherlands (VodafoneZiggo), providing ~80 million connections. Revenue comes from residential and B2B subscriptions across cable, broadband, and mobile. It also holds a $3.4B venture portfolio through Liberty Growth.