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Liberty Global Ltd. (LBTYA) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.51: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Liberty Global operates broadband, video, and mobile networks in Europe via Liberty Telecom (wholly-owned Telenet in Belgium, Virgin Media in Ireland, UPC Slovakia pending sale; 50% JVs in UK and Netherlands), invests in tech/media/sports through Liberty Growth (~$3.4B portfolio... Read more

$11.51+9.7% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#31 of 40 Telecom Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-17.42%
Stop $11.01Target $12.63(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$14.52+26.1%13 analysts
$12.63our TP
$11.51price
$14.52mean
$10
$25

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.51: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 74d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Liberty Global Ltd.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-8.6
Mkt Cap$3.9B
EV/EBITDA10.0
Profit Mgn-109.7%
ROE-48.0%
Rev Growth8.8%
Beta0.71
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-01Item 5.02LOW
    Liberty Global Compensation Committee approved 2026 Performance Award goals for executive officers on March 26, 2026. Payout range 0–150% of target based on revenue, Adjusted EBITDA, and strategic goals.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.9
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.1
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
5.6
Growth Rank
6.5

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
3.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M

Unprofitable operations — net margin -109.7%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
0.1
Operating Margin
1.8
Rule Of 40
3.0
Current Ratio
4.3
Moat
5.1
Piotroski F
6.7
Gross Margin
9.2
Cash-burning: FCF -14% of revenueNo competitive moatRule of 40: -5 (fail)
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 74d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $11.35Resistance $12.86

Price Targets

$11
$13
A.Upside+9.7%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (74d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LBTYA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.51: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $11.01. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LBTYA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.63 (+9.7% upside). Prior stop was $11.01. Stop-loss: $11.01.

What are the risks of investing in LBTYA?

Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is LBTYA overvalued or undervalued?

Liberty Global Ltd. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -8.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LBTYA?

20 analysts cover LBTYA with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Liberty Global Ltd. do?Liberty Global operates broadband, video, and mobile networks in Europe via Liberty Telecom (wholly-owned Telenet in...

Liberty Global operates broadband, video, and mobile networks in Europe via Liberty Telecom (wholly-owned Telenet in Belgium, Virgin Media in Ireland, UPC Slovakia pending sale; 50% JVs in UK and Netherlands), invests in tech/media/sports through Liberty Growth (~$3.4B portfolio in ~70 companies), and provides operational services via Liberty Services.

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