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LandBridge Company LLC (LB) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $67.03, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin; Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 customers (73.0%).

LandBridge owns and manages 315,000+ surface acres in and around the Delaware Basin (Permian Basin) in Texas and New Mexico, generating revenue from surface use agreements, brackish water sales, sand royalties, and royalties from WaterBridge's produced water operations on its... Read more

$67.03+4.6% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#5 of 32 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Stop $62.34Target $70.10(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$80.57+20.2%7 analysts
$70.10our TP
$67.03price
$80.57mean
$98

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $67.03, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin; Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 customers (73.0%). Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is outpacing valuation and the chart agrees (PEG 0.05, quality 7.8/10, growth 10.0/10). | News modifier -2 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Val4.0Qual7.8Grw10.0Mom5.2Sent6.6Ins3.8Peer4.2Tech5.6Risk4.55.9OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin
Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 customers (73.0%)
Thin upside margin: 4.6%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)73.9
P/E (Fwd)29.7
Mkt Cap$5.5B
EV/EBITDA22.3
Profit Mgn15.1%
ROE10.1%
Rev Growth55.6%
Beta—
Dividend0.61%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.47bullish
IV78%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicPermian Basin
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our acreage is located in the Permian Basin in Texas and New Mexico making us vulnerable to risks associated with geographic concentration in that basin.'
  • HIGHCustomertop-10 customers73%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our top ten customers represented 73% of our total revenues'
  • HIGHCustomerWaterBridge
    10-K Item 1A: 'Because a significant portion of our revenues is derived from WaterBridge, any development that materially and adversely affects WaterBridge's businesses, operations or financial condition could have a material adverse impact on us.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $61.31Resistance $71.71

Price Targets

$62
$70
A.Upside+4.6%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-2: STRONG_BUY_NOW → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Reward/Risk 0.5:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $67.03, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin; Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 customers (73.0%). Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is outpacing valuation and the chart agrees (PEG 0.05, quality 7.8/10, growth 10.0/10). | News modifier -2 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $70.10 (+4.6%), stop $62.34 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $70.10 (+4.6% upside). Target $70.10 (+4.6%), stop $62.34 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Stop-loss: $62.34.

What are the risks of investing in LB?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin; Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 customers (73.0%); Thin upside margin: 4.6%.

Is LB overvalued or undervalued?

LandBridge Company LLC trades at a P/E of 73.9 (forward 29.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about LB?

16 analysts cover LB with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $81.

What does LandBridge Company LLC do?LandBridge owns and manages 315,000+ surface acres in and around the Delaware Basin (Permian Basin) in Texas and New...

LandBridge owns and manages 315,000+ surface acres in and around the Delaware Basin (Permian Basin) in Texas and New Mexico, generating revenue from surface use agreements, brackish water sales, sand royalties, and royalties from WaterBridge's produced water operations on its land. As a non-E&P landowner, capital costs are primarily borne by customers.

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