Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Inc. (KW) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the KW stock price target?

Take-profit $10.70 (-1.8% upside). Prior stop was $10.86.

Q: What are the risks of investing in KW?

Target reached (-29.8% upside); Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0); Target reached (-29.8% upside); Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Q: Is KW overvalued or undervalued?

Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -10.2). TrendMatrix value score: 3.1/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about KW?

9 analysts cover KW with a consensus score of 2.0/5. Average price target: $9.

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.90: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation; Negative price momentum.

Kennedy-Wilson Holdings is a real estate investment company and investment manager with $36.4B AUM across US, UK, Ireland, and select European markets. Revenue comes from asset management fees ($115.2M in 2025, +16%), rental income, and transaction gains, with focus on... Read more

$10.90-1.8% A.UpsideScore 3.8/10#15 of 16 Real Estate Services

Stop $10.86Target $10.70(resistance)A.R:R -2.0:1

Analyst target$9.00-17.4%1 analysts

Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Target reached (-29.8% upside)

Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)-10.2

Mkt Cap$1.5B

EV/EBITDA29.0

Profit Mgn0.9%

ROE1.5%

Rev Growth-5.7%

Beta0.95

Dividend4.41%

Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

IV252%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

MEDIUMGeographicUnited Kingdom and Ireland
10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 29% of our revenues were sourced from our foreign operations in the United Kingdom, Ireland, Italy and Spain, 96% of which was sourced from our operations in the United Kingdom and Ireland.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value3.115%0.46

Quality3.915%0.58

Growth0.915%0.14

Momentum4.010%0.40

Sentiment4.210%0.42

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank3.210%0.32

Technical Setup5.75%0.29

Risk Profile5.55%0.28

Catalyst7.35%0.36

Overall (Σ contributions)3.75

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Revenue shrinking — -5.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth

0.6

Revenue Growth

1.1

Declining revenue: -6%

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda

0.0

P Ocf

1.0

8.4

P/OCF: 132.3x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank

1.3

Growth Rank

2.7

Quality Rank

3.7

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Net Margin

0.4

Roe

0.5

Roa

0.6

Current Ratio

1.8

Rule Of 40

3.0

Operating Margin

3.7

Piotroski F

4.4

Moat

5.0

Gross Margin

10.0

Fcf Quality

10.0

Excellent cash conversion: 1000% FCF/NINo competitive moatRule of 40: 15 (fail)

GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5A.R:R -2.0=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

47 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.83Resistance $10.92

Price Targets

$11

A.Upside-1.8%

A.R:R-2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-29.8% upside)

! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

! Momentum score 4.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

3/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is KW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.90: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $10.86. Score 3.8/10, high confidence.

What is the KW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.70 (-1.8% upside). Prior stop was $10.86. Stop-loss: $10.86.

What are the risks of investing in KW?

Target reached (-29.8% upside); Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Is KW overvalued or undervalued?

Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -10.2). TrendMatrix value score: 3.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KW?

9 analysts cover KW with a consensus score of 2.0/5. Average price target: $9.

What does Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Inc. do?Kennedy-Wilson Holdings is a real estate investment company and investment manager with $36.4B AUM across US, UK,...