Fundamental quality sits well below the minimum acceptable standard — Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, free cash flow negative relative to net income, a failed Rule of 40, and declining revenue — while the stock trades above its take-profit resistance ceiling with a negative reward-to-risk ratio of -3.6-to-1; despite a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak, the structural weakness of the business does not support continuing to hold the position.
Thesis pillars
- Quality Below Minimum Standard→Stable
- Price Above Resistance Negative Rr→Stable
- Revenue Declining Weak Growth→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Inc. (KW) Stock Analysis
Real Estate · Real Estate Services
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.92: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.
Kennedy-Wilson Holdings manages $36.4 billion of real estate AUM in the United States, United Kingdom, and Ireland, primarily in rental housing and industrial properties. The company generated $501.0 million in revenue in FY2025 via owned-property income and $115.2 million in... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.92: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-29Recent Developments — Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS First Advantage Will Replace Kennedy-Wilson Holdings In The S&P Smallcap 600 Effective Prior To The Opening Of Trading — benzinga Jun 11, 2026 negative
- NEWS Kennedy Wilson, APG Form €2B Irish Residential Venture, To Develop More Than 3,400 Dublin Rental Homes — benzinga Jun 4, 2026 positive
- NEWS Earnings Scheduled For May 6, 2026 — benzinga May 6, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Q1 EPS $0.10 Beats $(0.15) Estimate, Sales $117.200M Miss $236.900M Estimate — benzinga May 6, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-06-30T00:04:05Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicUnited Kingdom, Ireland, Italy and Spain29%10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 29% of our revenues were sourced from our foreign operations in the United Kingdom, Ireland, Italy and Spain'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -0.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.92: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $10.86. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $10.72 (-1.8% upside). Prior stop was $10.86. Stop-loss: $10.86.
Target reached (-29.9% upside); Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).
Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 91.0 (forward -10.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
9 analysts cover KW with a consensus score of 2.0/5. Average price target: $9.
What does Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Inc. do?Kennedy-Wilson Holdings manages $36.4 billion of real estate AUM in the United States, United Kingdom, and Ireland,...
Kennedy-Wilson Holdings manages $36.4 billion of real estate AUM in the United States, United Kingdom, and Ireland, primarily in rental housing and industrial properties. The company generated $501.0 million in revenue in FY2025 via owned-property income and $115.2 million in asset management fees from its $11.0 billion fee-bearing co-investment platform.