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Kodiak Sciences Inc (KOD) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $44.28: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 26%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.92; Below-average business quality.

Kodiak Sciences Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the research, development, and commercialization of therapeutics to treat retinal diseases. Its lead product candidate is tarcocimab tedromer (KSI-301), an anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF)... Read more

$44.28+10.7% A.UpsideScore 4.1/10#149 of 158 Biotechnology
Stop $41.16Target $49.01(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$56.33+27.2%6 analysts
$49.01our TP
$44.28price
$56.33mean
$14
$80

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $44.28: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 26%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.92; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-12.8
Mkt Cap$2.7B
EV/EBITDA-11.8
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-149.5%
Rev Growth
Beta2.40
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C3.92bearish
IV97%elevated
Max Pain$14-68.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
8.3
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatQuality concerns

Volatile — 7.3% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Short Interest
0.9
Beta
2.0
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Days To Cover
5.1
Debt Equity
8.5
High short interest justified: 26%Elevated put/call: 3.92High IV: 97%Above max pain $14

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
5.0

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Earnings Timing
5.0
Erm
6.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MEarnings in 13 days
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $38.37Resistance $47.84

Price Targets

$41
$49
A.Upside+10.7%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.7:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-13 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KOD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $44.28: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 26%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.92; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $41.16. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KOD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $49.01 (+10.7% upside). Prior stop was $41.16. Stop-loss: $41.16.

What are the risks of investing in KOD?

Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0).

Is KOD overvalued or undervalued?

Kodiak Sciences Inc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -12.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KOD?

11 analysts cover KOD with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $56.

What does Kodiak Sciences Inc do?Kodiak Sciences Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the research, development, and...

Kodiak Sciences Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the research, development, and commercialization of therapeutics to treat retinal diseases. Its lead product candidate is tarcocimab tedromer (KSI-301), an anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) antibody biopolymer that has complete Phase 3 clinical study to treat high prevalence retinal vascular diseases; and in Phase 3 clinical study for the treatment of diabetic retinopathy, wet age-related macular degeneration (AMD), retinal vein occlusion, and diabetic macular edema, as well as in Phase 2/3 clinical study to treat wet AMD. The company's preclinical stage product candidate includes KSI-501, an anti- interleukin-6 (IL-6) and VEGF-trap bispecific antibody biopolymer conjugate for high prevalence retinal vascular diseases; and KSI-101 (KSI-501P), a bispecific protein targeting IL-6 and VEGF developed for patients who have retinal fluid and inflammation. The company was formerly known as Oligasis, LLC and changed its name to Kodiak Sciences Inc. in September 2015. Kodiak Sciences Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Palo Alto, California.

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