KeyCorp (KEY) Stock Analysis
Financial Services · Banks - Regional
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $21.18, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial and industrial, commercial real estate, and commercial leases (72.0%); Thin upside margin: 6.3%.
KeyCorp is a bank holding company with $184.4B in assets, providing consumer and commercial banking through 940 full-service branches in 15 states. Its Consumer Bank and Commercial Bank segments serve individuals, small businesses, middle market, and large institutional clients.... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $21.18, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial and industrial, commercial real estate, and commercial leases (72.0%); Thin upside margin: 6.3%. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — KeyCorp
Latest news
- Robinhood stock breaks below key trend line after earnings miss (HOOD:NASDAQ) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha negative
- KeyCorp Stock (US4932671088): Q4 CY2025 Results Top Revenue Expectations with 12.5% Growth - AD HOC NEWS — AD HOC NEWS positive
- Is KeyCorp (KEY) Still Undervalued After Its Recent 30 Day Share Price Momentum - simplywall.st — simplywall.st positive
- Coinbase Nears Key Level With Earnings Next; Is Coinbase Stock A Buy Now? - Investor's Business Daily — Investor's Business Daily neutral
- KeyCorp inks acquisition for European M&A advisory Clearwater UK - Crain's Cleveland Business — Crain's Cleveland Business positive
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHloan_portfoliocommercial and industrial, commercial real estate, and commercial leases72%10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 72% of our loan portfolio consisted of commercial and industrial loans, commercial real estate loans, including commercial mortgage and construction loans, and commercial leases'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-02Item 5.02MEDIUMAmy G. Brady (Chief Information Officer) announced resignation from KeyCorp on February 24, 2026 due to personal health considerations. No successor named in the filing.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $21.18, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial and industrial, commercial real estate, and commercial leases (72.0%); Thin upside margin: 6.3%. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $22.48 (+6.1%), stop $20.28 (−4.4%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $22.48 (+6.3% upside). Target $22.48 (+6.1%), stop $20.28 (−4.4%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Stop-loss: $20.28.
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial and industrial, commercial real estate, and commercial leases (72.0%); Thin upside margin: 6.3%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5).
KeyCorp trades at a P/E of 12.8 (forward 9.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Hold.
24 analysts cover KEY with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $25.
What does KeyCorp do?KeyCorp is a bank holding company with $184.4B in assets, providing consumer and commercial banking through 940...
KeyCorp is a bank holding company with $184.4B in assets, providing consumer and commercial banking through 940 full-service branches in 15 states. Its Consumer Bank and Commercial Bank segments serve individuals, small businesses, middle market, and large institutional clients. Approximately 72% of the loan portfolio consists of commercial and industrial loans, commercial real estate, and commercial leases.