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IREN LIMITED (IREN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $47.94 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5).

IREN owns and operates next-generation data centers powered by renewable energy in Texas and British Columbia, supporting Bitcoin mining (ASICs) and HPC/AI cloud services (NVIDIA GPUs). As of June 30, 2025, it had ~810MW of operating capacity with over 80% in the United States;... Read more

$47.94+34.7% A.UpsideScore 3.6/10#40 of 40 Capital Markets
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield-12.82%
Stop $44.40Target $64.30(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $47.94 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5). Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 3.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 100d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — IREN LIMITED

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)65.5
P/E (Fwd)-37.5
Mkt Cap$18.0B
EV/EBITDA134.4
Profit Mgn20.9%
ROE7.7%
Rev Growth0.0%
Beta4.18
DividendNone
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C1.26bearish
IV117%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUnited States
    10-K Item 1: 'over 80% of our operating data center capacity located in the United States'
  • MEDIUMcounterpartyKraken
    10-K Item 1: 'To date we have utilized Kraken, a U.S.-based digital asset trading platform, to liquidate the Bitcoin we mine'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Pe
1.7
Expensive valuation
Low model confidence on this dimension (40%).

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.5
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.4
Quality Rank
4.5
Growth Rank
5.0

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.4
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 100d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $42.21Resistance $65.61

Price Targets

$44
$64
A.Upside+34.1%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-27 (100d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IREN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $47.94 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5). Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $44.40. Score 3.6/10, high confidence.

What is the IREN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $64.30 (+34.7% upside). Prior stop was $44.40. Stop-loss: $44.40.

What are the risks of investing in IREN?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5.

Is IREN overvalued or undervalued?

IREN LIMITED trades at a P/E of 65.5 (forward -37.5). TrendMatrix value score: 0.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IREN?

23 analysts cover IREN with a consensus score of 4.0/5.

What does IREN LIMITED do?IREN owns and operates next-generation data centers powered by renewable energy in Texas and British Columbia,...

IREN owns and operates next-generation data centers powered by renewable energy in Texas and British Columbia, supporting Bitcoin mining (ASICs) and HPC/AI cloud services (NVIDIA GPUs). As of June 30, 2025, it had ~810MW of operating capacity with over 80% in the United States; Bitcoin is liquidated daily via Kraken exchange.

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