Iridium Communications Inc (IRDM) Stock Analysis
Communication Services · Telecom Services
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.95 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.8): -1.5.
Iridium Communications provides global voice, data, and PNT satellite services via a 66-satellite LEO constellation, the only commercial provider with true global coverage. Revenue comes from commercial services (maritime, aviation, IoT) and US government contracts, with the... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.95 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.8): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.3/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 91d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerU.S. government (DoW)29%10-K Item 1A: 'The U.S. government, through a dedicated gateway owned and operated by the DoW ... representing 29% and 28% of our revenue for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-27Item 5.02LOWCompensation Committee approved Annual Performance Bonus Plan effective January 1, 2026, covering eligible employees and NEOs including CEO and CFO. Cash or RSU awards based on corporate and individual performance goals. Routine compensatory arrangement.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.95 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.8): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $36.20. Score 4.3/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $43.47 (+11.7% upside). Prior stop was $36.20. Stop-loss: $36.20.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.8): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3).
Iridium Communications Inc trades at a P/E of 36.8 (forward 25.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
16 analysts cover IRDM with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $36.
What does Iridium Communications Inc do?Iridium Communications provides global voice, data, and PNT satellite services via a 66-satellite LEO constellation,...
Iridium Communications provides global voice, data, and PNT satellite services via a 66-satellite LEO constellation, the only commercial provider with true global coverage. Revenue comes from commercial services (maritime, aviation, IoT) and US government contracts, with the Department of Defense representing 29% of 2025 revenue.