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IOVAIovance Biotherapeutics, Inc.Sell5.9·$3.86-4.25%
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Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc. (IOVA) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.86: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 6.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Below-average business quality.

Iovance Biotherapeutics is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company selling two products: Amtagvi® (lifileucel), the first approved one-time T cell therapy for a solid tumor cancer (advanced melanoma), and Proleukin® (aldesleukin), an IL-2 used in the Amtagvi regimen. The... Read more

$3.86+100.5% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#36 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-8.28%
Stop $3.55Target $7.66(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 6.7:1
Analyst target$8.80+128.0%10 analysts
$7.66our TP
$3.86price
$8.80mean
$14

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.86: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 6.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc.

About Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc.

Iovance Biotherapeutics commercially launched Amtagvi (lifileucel) — the first FDA-approved one-time T cell therapy for a solid tumor cancer — in the U.S. in Q2 2024, and sells Proleukin (aldesleukin) acquired from Clinigen in May 2023. The company reported a net loss of $391.0 million for the year ended December 31, 2025, with an accumulated deficit of $2.8 billion and $303.0 million in cash. Amtagvi is approved in the U.S. and Canada; potential approvals are pending in the UK and Australia in H1 2026 and Switzerland in 2027.

Iovance sells Amtagvi through a growing authorized treatment center (ATC) network, with revenue recognized upon patient infusion; Proleukin is sold to three main U.S. distributors and distributors outside the U.S. across three channels — use in the Amtagvi treatment regimen, use in manufacturing processes for cell therapies, and clinical and research settings. All Amtagvi manufacturing transferred to the Iovance Cell Therapy Center (iCTC) in Philadelphia after the Minaris contract terminated in Q1 2026; the iCTC is the sole FDA-approved facility with a centralized TIL manufacturing process and potential capacity for more than 5,000 patients annually. Proleukin supply comes from Boehringer Ingelheim Biopharmaceuticals GmbH under a supply agreement extended through December 31, 2028 with minimum annual vial commitments. The company pays royalties ranging from less than one to mid-single-digit percent of net sales to the NIH under a patent license agreement extended to August 2029.

Show full overview

The confirmatory Phase 3 trial TILVANCE-301 — randomizing approximately 670 frontline advanced melanoma patients — serves a dual purpose: establishing a registrational path for lifileucel combined with pembrolizumab and generating data to support full U.S. approval for Amtagvi in previously treated patients. The company withdrew an initial EU marketing authorization application in July 2025 and plans to resubmit a centralized MAA to the EMA in 2026; if the resubmission does not receive approval, the addressable patient population outside the U.S. and Canada could be materially constrained.

See also: Healthcare · Biotechnology

From Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Pipeline: TILVANCE-301 (Amtagvi confirmatory Phase 3)
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-12.6
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA-4.8
Profit Mgn-123.9%
ROE-47.5%
Rev Growth44.8%
Beta0.70
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.91neutral
IV142%elevated
Max Pain$10+159.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductAmtagvi® (lifileucel)
    10-K Item 1: 'Our top priority is to drive commercial success of Amtagvi® for previously treated advanced melanoma'
  • HIGHpipelineTILVANCE-301 (Amtagvi confirmatory Phase 3)
    10-K Item 1: 'TILVANCE-301, is designed to support a registrational path for lifileucel ... to support full U.S. approval for Amtagvi® in post-anti-PD-1 advanced melanoma'
  • MEDIUMSupplierBoehringer Ingelheim (Proleukin® manufacturer)
    10-K Item 1: 'manufacturing and supply agreement with Boehringer Ingelheim Biopharmaceuticals GmbH, to carry out the processing, manufacturing, and supply of Proleukin® in unlabeled vials'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-20Item 5.02LOW
    Board director Wendy Yarno gave notice March 17, 2026 she will retire and not stand for re-election at the June 2026 annual meeting. Will serve out current term. No disagreement with company operations, policies, or practices cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2M

Clinical-stage biotech: losses expected pre-commercialisation. Quality floor doesn't distinguish R&D investment from operational decay — components above tell the real story.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
3.9
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
9.4
Cash-burning: FCF -52% of revenueNo competitive moat
GatesMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.9>=4.5A.R:R 6.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $3.28Resistance $4.58

Price Targets

$4
$8
A.Upside+98.4%
A.R:R6.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IOVA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.86: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 6.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $3.55. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IOVA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $7.66 (+100.5% upside). Prior stop was $3.55. Stop-loss: $3.55.

What are the risks of investing in IOVA?

Concentration risk — Pipeline: TILVANCE-301 (Amtagvi confirmatory Phase 3); Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Is IOVA overvalued or undervalued?

Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -12.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IOVA?

16 analysts cover IOVA with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $9.

What does Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc. do?Iovance Biotherapeutics is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company selling two products: Amtagvi® (lifileucel),...

Iovance Biotherapeutics is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company selling two products: Amtagvi® (lifileucel), the first approved one-time T cell therapy for a solid tumor cancer (advanced melanoma), and Proleukin® (aldesleukin), an IL-2 used in the Amtagvi regimen. The company reported a net loss of $391.0 million in 2025 with $303.0 million in cash, scaling Amtagvi's authorized treatment center network while pursuing approvals in the UK, Australia, and EU.

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