Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Sell if holding. At $101.42, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 5.5%.
Ingredion is a global ingredient solutions provider with 41 manufacturing facilities across three reportable segments: Texture & Healthful Solutions (global), Food & Industrial Ingredients–LATAM, and Food & Industrial Ingredients–U.S./Canada. It processes corn, tapioca, potato,... Read more
Sell if holding. At $101.42, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 5.5%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 42. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and 8k serious 2.05. Suitability: moderate.
About Ingredion Incorporated
About Ingredion Incorporated
Starch products and sweetener products accounted for 50% and 34% of Ingredion's 2025 net sales, respectively, with 74% of total net sales derived from food, beverage, and brewing industries. The company converted corn, tapioca, potato, peas, rice, and other plant materials into ingredients at 41 active manufacturing facilities globally, employing 11,200 people as of December 31, 2025 across its three reportable segments.
Ingredion generates revenue through three business segments: Texture & Healthful Solutions (T&HS), which serves global customers with modified starches, clean-label texturizers, and hydrocolloids at 20 manufacturing facilities in the US, Canada, Asia-Pacific, and Europe; Food & Industrial Ingredients–LATAM (F&II–LATAM), operating nine facilities in Mexico and South America primarily serving local brewing, food, and industrial markets; and Food & Industrial Ingredients–U.S./Canada, with six facilities producing starches and sweeteners for North American food and industrial customers. Corn—the primary raw material—represents between 40% and 60% of finished product costs; the company enters corn futures and options contracts on firm-priced supply contracts to limit the impact of input cost volatility. Energy costs represented approximately 9% of finished product costs in 2025. T&HS faces competition from Archer-Daniels-Midland, Tate & Lyle, Cargill, and Roquette, while the LATAM and US/Canada segments compete primarily against ADM, Cargill, and Primient.
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Ingredion's input cost structure exposes margins to corn and energy price cycles that may adversely affect profitability when input price increases cannot be passed through to customers on firm-priced contracts. In May 2026, the company disclosed via Form 8-K a plan to cease operations at its Cabo, Brazil manufacturing facility as of June 30, 2026, expecting approximately $43 million in non-recurring pre-tax charges—reflecting ongoing portfolio rationalization in the F&II–LATAM segment.
See also: Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
From Ingredion Incorporated's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — Ingredion Incorporated
Latest news
- NEWS Ingredion (INGR) to Release Quarterly Earnings on Tuesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Earnings Preview: Ingredion (INGR) Q1 Earnings Expected to Decline - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- NEWS Ingredion (INGR) Gets a Hold from Barclays - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail neutral
- NEWS Ingredion (NYSE:INGR) Hits New 12-Month Low Following Weak Earnings - MarketBeat — MarketBeat negative
- NEWS Ingredion Stock Forecast: What Is Driving Market Focus - Kalkine Media — Kalkine Media neutral
Generated 2026-06-17T08:56:48Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-05Item 2.05MEDIUMIngredion committed May 1, 2026 to cease operations at its Cabo, Brazil manufacturing facility by June 30, 2026. Expected pre-tax charges of approximately $43M: ~$36M impairment/write-downs and ~$7M cash employee/severance costs. Majority of charges expected Q2 2026.SEC filing →
- 2026-03-25Item 5.02MEDIUMJason Payant appointed Interim CFO effective April 1, 2026, succeeding James D. Gray who resigned as EVP/CFO effective March 31, 2026. Payant has been with Ingredion since 2012; no permanent CFO named.SEC filing →
- 2026-03-23Item 5.02LOWGregory B. Kenny retired from the Board effective March 23, 2026. Siobhán Talbot elected as new independent director effective April 1, 2026. Kenny cited no disagreement with Company.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -1.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $101.42, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 5.5%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 42. Prior stop was $96.33. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $106.86 (+5.5% upside). Prior stop was $96.33. Stop-loss: $96.33.
Thin upside margin: 5.5%; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak overall score: 4.8/10.
Ingredion Incorporated trades at a P/E of 9.8 (forward 8.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
14 analysts cover INGR with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $123.
What does Ingredion Incorporated do?Ingredion is a global ingredient solutions provider with 41 manufacturing facilities across three reportable segments:...
Ingredion is a global ingredient solutions provider with 41 manufacturing facilities across three reportable segments: Texture & Healthful Solutions (global), Food & Industrial Ingredients–LATAM, and Food & Industrial Ingredients–U.S./Canada. It processes corn, tapioca, potato, and other plant materials into starches (50% of 2025 net sales) and sweeteners (34%) for food, beverage, brewing, and industrial customers. No single customer exceeded 10% of 2025 net sales.