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Independent Bank Corp. (INDB) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $77.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Massachusetts and New England; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (77.2%).

Independent Bank Corp. holds Rockland Trust, a Massachusetts community bank with 150+ retail branches in Eastern Massachusetts, Worcester County, southern NH, and RI. Total assets were $24.9B and deposits $20.1B at year-end 2025, serving small-to-upper middle market businesses... Read more

$77.30+1.4% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#14 of 142 Banks - Regional
Stop $73.40Target $78.15(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$89.83+16.2%6 analysts
$78.15our TP
$77.30price
$89.83mean
$97

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $77.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Massachusetts and New England; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (77.2%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Massachusetts and New England
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (77.2%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.3
P/E (Fwd)9.2
Mkt Cap$3.7B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn27.5%
ROE7.3%
Rev Growth51.6%
Beta0.81
Dividend3.32%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.50bearish
IV49%normal
Max Pain$40-48.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicMassachusetts and New England
    10-K Item 1A: 'Substantially all of the loans the Company originates are secured by properties located in, or are made to businesses that operate in, Massachusetts and the broader New England area.'
  • HIGHloan_portfoliocommercial loans77%
    10-K Item 1A: '77.2% of the Company's loan portfolio consisted of commercial loans.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-13Item 5.02LOW
    Director Mary L. Lentz retired from Board effective April 11, 2026 upon reaching age 72 per governance principles. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-13Item 5.02LOW
    Director Scott Smith voluntarily chose not to stand for re-election at May 14, 2026 Annual Shareholder Meeting. Not due to any disagreement with company cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $74.71Resistance $81.80

Price Targets

$73
$78
A.Upside+1.1%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.4% upside)
! Momentum score 4.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is INDB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $77.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Massachusetts and New England; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (77.2%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $78.15 (+1.1%), stop $73.40 (−5.3%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the INDB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $78.15 (+1.4% upside). Target $78.15 (+1.1%), stop $73.40 (−5.3%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Stop-loss: $73.40.

What are the risks of investing in INDB?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Massachusetts and New England; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (77.2%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is INDB overvalued or undervalued?

Independent Bank Corp. trades at a P/E of 15.3 (forward 9.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about INDB?

11 analysts cover INDB with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $90.

What does Independent Bank Corp. do?Independent Bank Corp. holds Rockland Trust, a Massachusetts community bank with 150+ retail branches in Eastern...

Independent Bank Corp. holds Rockland Trust, a Massachusetts community bank with 150+ retail branches in Eastern Massachusetts, Worcester County, southern NH, and RI. Total assets were $24.9B and deposits $20.1B at year-end 2025, serving small-to-upper middle market businesses and consumers. The company acquired Enterprise Bancorp in July 2025.

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