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INDBIndependent Bank Corp.Hold6.5·$82.40+0.43%
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Independent Bank Corp. (INDB) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $82.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (77.2%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Massachusetts and New England.

Independent Bank Corp. operates Rockland Trust Company, a Massachusetts bank with $24.9 billion in total assets and 151 branches serving Eastern Massachusetts, Worcester County, southern New Hampshire, and Rhode Island. The bank earns primarily through net interest income on an... Read more

$82.40+0.1% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#18 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield3.12%(5y avg 3.26%)Payout47.91%sustainable
Stop $78.98Target $82.46(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$90.57+9.9%7 analysts
$82.46our TP
$82.40price
$90.57mean
$97

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $82.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (77.2%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Massachusetts and New England. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Independent Bank Corp.

About Independent Bank Corp.

Independent Bank Corp. held $24.9 billion in total assets and $20.1 billion in total deposits at December 31, 2025, operating 151 branches primarily in Eastern Massachusetts, Worcester County, and southern New Hampshire. The company completed the acquisition of Enterprise Bancorp on July 1, 2025 for total consideration of $503.1 million, paid in equity and cash. Rockland Trust Company — the company's sole banking subsidiary — is regulated by the Federal Reserve, the Massachusetts Commissioner of Banks, and the FDIC.

Rockland Trust generates revenue primarily through net interest income on an $18.5 billion gross loan portfolio, equal to 74.3% of total assets at year-end 2025. Commercial lending dominates the book: commercial loans — spanning commercial real estate, construction, commercial and industrial, and small business categories — comprised 77.2% of the loan portfolio at December 31, 2025 and generated 70.1% of total interest income during the year. Commercial real estate, inclusive of construction balances, is the largest single loan type, underwritten across non-owner-occupied, retail, office, industrial, and multi-family properties. Consumer real estate accounts for 23.7% of average loans. Funding comes from in-market core deposits gathered through the branch network, supplemented by borrowings; the bank competes with savings banks, co-operative banks, credit unions, and internet lenders. Bright Rock Capital Management LLC provides investment management fee income alongside the lending business.

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The company's loan origination activity is concentrated almost entirely within Massachusetts and the broader New England area, a geographic footprint the 10-K identifies as a specific concentration risk. Adverse economic conditions in the region — including elevated unemployment or declining real estate values — could expose the company to higher loss and delinquency rates than a more geographically diversified portfolio would face. Commercial real estate adds a second layer: the 10-K notes the prolonged shift toward hybrid work has reduced demand for office space and may continue to weigh on collateral values securing a portion of the commercial real estate book.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From Independent Bank Corp.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202637d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (77.2%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: Massachusetts and New England
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.3
P/E (Fwd)9.8
Mkt Cap$4.0B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn27.5%
ROE7.3%
Rev Growth51.6%
Beta0.80
Dividend3.12%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C5.00bearish
IV55%elevated
Max Pain$70-15.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfoliocommercial loans77%
    10-K Item 1A: '77.2% of the Company's loan portfolio consisted of commercial loans'
  • MEDIUMloan_portfoliocommercial real estate
    10-K Item 1: 'The Bank's commercial real estate portfolio, inclusive of commercial construction, is the Bank's largest loan type concentration'
  • HIGHGeographicMassachusetts and New England
    10-K Item 1A: 'Substantially all of the loans the Company originates are secured by properties located in, or are made to businesses that operate in, Massachusetts and the broader New England area'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-13Item 5.02LOW
    Director Mary L. Lentz retired effective April 11, 2026, upon reaching age 72 per the company's Governance Principles mandatory age limit. She had served since 2016 on Audit and Risk Committees. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-13Item 5.02LOW
    Director Scott Smith notified the company on March 10, 2026 of his decision not to stand for re-election at the May 14, 2026 Annual Meeting. Serving since April 1, 2019. Voluntary; no disagreement with company or management cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 37d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $76.67Resistance $84.14

Price Targets

$79
$82
A.Upside+0.1%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (37d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is INDB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $82.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (77.2%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Massachusetts and New England. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $82.46 (+0.1%), stop $78.98 (−4.3%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the INDB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $82.46 (+0.1% upside). Target $82.46 (+0.1%), stop $78.98 (−4.3%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $78.98.

What are the risks of investing in INDB?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (77.2%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Massachusetts and New England; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is INDB overvalued or undervalued?

Independent Bank Corp. trades at a P/E of 16.3 (forward 9.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about INDB?

13 analysts cover INDB with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $91.

What does Independent Bank Corp. do?Independent Bank Corp. operates Rockland Trust Company, a Massachusetts bank with $24.9 billion in total assets and 151...

Independent Bank Corp. operates Rockland Trust Company, a Massachusetts bank with $24.9 billion in total assets and 151 branches serving Eastern Massachusetts, Worcester County, southern New Hampshire, and Rhode Island. The bank earns primarily through net interest income on an $18.5 billion loan portfolio — 77.2% commercial — funded by core deposits and borrowings.

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