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ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. (CNOB) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $29.27, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.2% away).

ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for ConnectOne Bank that provides commercial banking products and services for small and mid-sized businesses, local professionals, and individuals in the United States. The company offers personal and business... Read more

$29.27+1.3% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#7 of 142 Banks - Regional
Stop $27.40Target $29.55(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$32.70+11.7%5 analysts
$29.55our TP
$29.27price
$32.70mean
$34

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $29.27, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.2% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 95d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.2% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.6
P/E (Fwd)8.0
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn25.9%
ROE6.9%
Rev Growth65.5%
Beta1.08
Dividend2.69%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV87%elevated
Max Pain$25-14.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 95d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $26.28Resistance $30.15

Price Targets

$27
$30
A.Upside+1.0%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (95d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CNOB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $29.27, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.2% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $29.55 (+1.0%), stop $27.40 (−6.8%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CNOB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.55 (+1.3% upside). Target $29.55 (+1.0%), stop $27.40 (−6.8%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $27.40.

What are the risks of investing in CNOB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.2% away).

Is CNOB overvalued or undervalued?

ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.6 (forward 8.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CNOB?

11 analysts cover CNOB with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $33.

What does ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. do?ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for ConnectOne Bank that provides commercial banking...

ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for ConnectOne Bank that provides commercial banking products and services for small and mid-sized businesses, local professionals, and individuals in the United States. The company offers personal and business checking, money market, and time and savings accounts; credit cards, wire transfers, safe deposit boxes, automated teller services and telephone, and internet and mobile banking. It also provides retirement accounts, consumer and cash management services for business clients, including treasury direct, automated clearing house origination, remote deposit capture, and digital invoicing. In addition, the company offers consumer and commercial business loans, including lines of credit, commercial and residential mortgages, home equity and bridge loans, and other personal loans; commercial loans secured by collateral, such as business assets including accounts receivable, inventory and equipment, and mortgages filed on commercial and residential real estate, as well as cash balances and marketable securities. Further, the company provides real estate loans, which includes loans secured by first liens on completed commercial properties, including multifamily properties, to purchase or refinance properties; residential mortgages, such as loans secured by first liens on 1-4 family and condominiums; and cooperative residential real estate loans. The company was formerly known as Center Bancorp, Inc. and changed its name to ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. in July 2014. ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey.

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