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ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. (CNOB) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $29.06, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for ConnectOne Bank that provides commercial banking products and services for small and mid-sized businesses, local professionals, and individuals in the United States. The company offers personal and business... Read more

$29.06+1.2% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#14 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.70%(5y avg 2.67%)Payout38.71%sustainable
Stop $27.52Target $29.41(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$33.80+16.3%5 analysts
$29.41our TP
$29.06price
$33.80mean
$34

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $29.06, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.7
P/E (Fwd)8.0
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn25.9%
ROE6.9%
Rev Growth65.5%
Beta1.06
Dividend2.70%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.16bullish
IV51%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.8
Macd
1.3
Rsi
5.5
Obv
5.8
Ma Position
6.0
Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $27.71Resistance $30.45

Price Targets

$28
$29
A.Upside+1.2%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.2% upside)
! Momentum score 3.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CNOB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $29.06, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $29.41 (+1.2%), stop $27.52 (−5.6%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CNOB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.41 (+1.2% upside). Target $29.41 (+1.2%), stop $27.52 (−5.6%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Stop-loss: $27.52.

What are the risks of investing in CNOB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Negative momentum.

Is CNOB overvalued or undervalued?

ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.7 (forward 8.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CNOB?

11 analysts cover CNOB with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $34.

What does ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. do?ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for ConnectOne Bank that provides commercial banking...

ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for ConnectOne Bank that provides commercial banking products and services for small and mid-sized businesses, local professionals, and individuals in the United States. The company offers personal and business checking, money market, and time and savings accounts; credit cards, wire transfers, safe deposit boxes, automated teller services and telephone, and internet and mobile banking. It also provides retirement accounts, consumer and cash management services for business clients, including treasury direct, automated clearing house origination, remote deposit capture, and digital invoicing. In addition, the company offers consumer and commercial business loans, including lines of credit, commercial and residential mortgages, home equity and bridge loans, and other personal loans; commercial loans secured by collateral, such as business assets including accounts receivable, inventory and equipment, and mortgages filed on commercial and residential real estate, as well as cash balances and marketable securities. Further, the company provides real estate loans, which includes loans secured by first liens on completed commercial properties, including multifamily properties, to purchase or refinance properties; residential mortgages, such as loans secured by first liens on 1-4 family and condominiums; and cooperative residential real estate loans. The company was formerly known as Center Bancorp, Inc. and changed its name to ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. in July 2014. ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey.

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