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IMTXImmatics N.V.Sell4.4·$10.30+3.52%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Immatics is a pre-revenue biotech with quality far below minimum standards, a Piotroski F-Score of 2 out of 9, and 3 of its past 4 quarters delivered misses; analysts nonetheless project approximately 73% upside from current levels, offering a highly asymmetric but deeply speculative setup where execution risk is the dominant variable.

Thesis pillars

  • Analyst Upside Asymmetric SetupStable
  • Severe Cash Burn SustainabilityStable
  • Worsening Earnings ExecutionStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Immatics N.V. (IMTX) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.30: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10 and A.R:R 5.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 16.75; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Immatics N.V., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the research and development of potential T cell redirecting immunotherapies for the treatment of cancer in the United States. The company is developing targeted immunotherapies with a focus on treating solid... Read more

$10.30+64.5% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#204 of 253 Biotechnology
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield-8.15%
Stop $9.29Target $16.43(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.2:1
Analyst target$18.89+83.4%7 analysts
$16.43our TP
$10.30price
$18.89mean
$25

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.30: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10 and A.R:R 5.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 16.75; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 38d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 13, 202638d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-5.2
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA-4.5
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-43.2%
Rev Growth-59.0%
Beta1.32
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C16.75bearish
IV281%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
2.5
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning: FCF -297% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Volatile — 5.1% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Days To Cover
0.1
Debt Equity
1.7
Beta
5.7
Short Interest
7.0
Elevated put/call: 16.75High IV: 281%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.5
Growth Rank
1.6
Quality Rank
3.5

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.1
Support Resistance
2.4
52w Position
6.1
GatesMomentum 7.3>=5.5A.R:R 5.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 38d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $8.76Resistance $10.38

Price Targets

$9
$16
A.Upside+59.5%
A.R:R5.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (38d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IMTX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.30: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10 and A.R:R 5.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 16.75; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $9.29. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IMTX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.43 (+64.5% upside). Prior stop was $9.29. Stop-loss: $9.29.

What are the risks of investing in IMTX?

Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0).

Is IMTX overvalued or undervalued?

Immatics N.V. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -5.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IMTX?

18 analysts cover IMTX with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $19.

What does Immatics N.V. do?Immatics N.V., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the research and development of potential T cell...

Immatics N.V., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the research and development of potential T cell redirecting immunotherapies for the treatment of cancer in the United States. The company is developing targeted immunotherapies with a focus on treating solid tumors through two distinct treatment modalities, such as adoptive cell therapies (ACT) and antibody-like TCR Bispecifics. Its products pipeline includes Anzu-cel (IMA203), a one-time infusion PRAME cell therapy, which is in Phase 2 trial; IMA203CD8, a cell therapy product that is in Phase 1 clinical trial; IMA204 that targets tumor stroma, which is in Phase 1 clinical trial; and Anzu-cel in combination with Moderna's PRAME cell therapy enhancer (mRNA-4203), which is in Phase 1 clinical trial. The company also develops TCR Bispecifics products, including IMA401 and IMA402, which is in Phase 1a clinical trial. The company has a strategic collaboration agreement with MD Anderson Cancer Center to develop multiple T cell and TCR-based adoptive cellular therapies; Celgene Corporation to develop novel adoptive cell therapies targeting multiple cancers; and Genmab A/S to develop T cell engaging bispecific immunotherapies targeting multiple cancer indications. Immatics N.V. is headquartered in Tübingen, Germany.

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