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HIVEHIVE Digital Technologies LtdSell5.5·$1.91
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

HIVE Digital shows strong revenue growth of 74% YoY, but it has missed earnings in all 4 recent quarters, quality is below the engine's floor, and the stock is in a confirmed downtrend down about 75% from its 52-week high.

Thesis pillars

  • Weak Business Quality→Stable
  • Strong Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Repeated Earnings Misses↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Jun 2, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd (HIVE) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $1.91: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.50; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

HIVE Digital Technologies is a sustainable-energy-focused digital infrastructure company operating Bitcoin ASIC mining and GPU-based HPC/AI compute services across data centers in Canada, Sweden and Paraguay, with roughly 464.4 MW of power capacity and 25.2 EH/s of installed... Read more

$1.91+56.5% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#35 of 50 Capital Markets
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield26.76%
Stop $1.78Resistance target $2.99A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst consensus$6.67+249.0%9 analysts
$2.99Resistance target
$1.91price
$6.67mean
$10

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $1.91: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.50; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-11-02

Recent Developments — HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd

Generated 2026-11-02T11:53:16Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 12, 202610d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Counterparty: Fireblocks (89.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: equipment suppliers (Bitmain)
DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $6.67 vs price $1.91 — ratio 3.5×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-21.2
Mkt Cap$524M
EV/EBITDA19.0
Profit Mgn-98.5%
ROE-66.4%
Rev Growth73.5%
Beta3.55
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C2.50bearish
IV118%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHcounterpartyFireblocks89%
    10-K Item 1: 'the percentages of the Company's assets held with Bank Frick was approximately 11% and 89% was maintained by Fireblocks which represented over 98% of the Company's entire digital currency assets, with a market value of approximately $10.8 million.'
  • HIGHSupplierequipment suppliers (Bitmain)
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our business is highly dependent on a small number of equipment suppliers ... historically Bitmain has been a key supplier of equipment.'
  • HIGHcounterpartyYguazú Facility power purchase agreement
    10-K Item 1: 'The contracted term of the power purchase agreement at the Yguazú Facility extends until December 31, 2027. Thereafter, continued operation will rely on the Company's ability to renegotiate this agreement.'
  • MEDIUMcounterpartyValenzuela Facility power purchase agreement
    10-K Item 1: 'The contracted term of the power purchase agreement for the Valenzuela Facility extends until December 31, 2027. Thereafter, continued operation of the facility will depend on the Company's ability to renegotiate or enter into a replacement power purchase arrangement on commercially acceptable terms.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Volatile — 7.9% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Beta
0.0
Days To Cover
5.5
Debt Equity
5.7
News Risk
6.0
Elevated put/call: 2.50High IV: 118%Concentration risks: 3 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Unprofitable operations — net margin -98.5%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
3.0
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
6.9
No competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
6.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/3MEarnings in 10 days

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Macd
6.1
Volume
8.4
Capitulation risk (RSI 26, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 10d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
26 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $1.82Resistance $3.05

Price Targets

$2
$3
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $6.67 vs price $1.91 — ratio 3.5×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
! Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-12 (10d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HIVE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $1.91: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.50; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $1.78. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HIVE stock price target?

Resistance target: $2.99 (+56.5% upside). Prior stop was $1.78. Stop-loss: $1.78.

What are the risks of investing in HIVE?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: Fireblocks (89.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: equipment suppliers (Bitmain); DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $6.67 vs price $1.91 — ratio 3.5×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP..

Is HIVE overvalued or undervalued?

HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -21.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HIVE?

10 analysts cover HIVE with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $7.

What does HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd do?HIVE Digital Technologies is a sustainable-energy-focused digital infrastructure company operating Bitcoin ASIC mining...

HIVE Digital Technologies is a sustainable-energy-focused digital infrastructure company operating Bitcoin ASIC mining and GPU-based HPC/AI compute services across data centers in Canada, Sweden and Paraguay, with roughly 464.4 MW of power capacity and 25.2 EH/s of installed Bitcoin hashrate as of April 30, 2026. The company generated approximately $35 million of annualized recurring HPC revenue through its BUZZ HPC subsidiary and holds its cryptocurrency assets primarily with custodians Fireblocks (89%) and Bank Frick (11%). Roughly two-thirds of its power capacity sits in Paraguay, where pow

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