HCA Healthcare, Inc. (HCA) Stock Analysis
Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities
Sell if holding. At $431.60, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.1%; Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida and Texas.
HCA Healthcare operates 190 hospitals—179 general acute care, 7 behavioral, and 4 rehabilitation—plus 121 ASCs and 31 endoscopy centers across 19 states and England. The company generated $75.6 billion in revenues in 2025, with managed care and other insurers at 48.9%, Managed... Read more
Sell if holding. At $431.60, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.1%; Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida and Texas. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 85d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicFlorida and Texas10-K Item 1: 'Our facilities are heavily concentrated in Florida and Texas'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-25Item 5.02LOWHCA Compensation Committee adopted 2026 Executive Officer Performance Excellence Program on Feb 24, 2026. CEO Hazen eligible for 175% of base salary; CFO Marks and COO Foster at 125%. Compensatory arrangement; no departure named.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $431.60, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.1%; Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida and Texas. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $409.52. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $461.79 (+7.1% upside). Prior stop was $409.52. Stop-loss: $409.52.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida and Texas; Thin upside margin: 7.1%; Weak growth.
HCA Healthcare, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.0 (forward 13.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
31 analysts cover HCA with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $513.
What does HCA Healthcare, Inc. do?HCA Healthcare operates 190 hospitals—179 general acute care, 7 behavioral, and 4 rehabilitation—plus 121 ASCs and 31...
HCA Healthcare operates 190 hospitals—179 general acute care, 7 behavioral, and 4 rehabilitation—plus 121 ASCs and 31 endoscopy centers across 19 states and England. The company generated $75.6 billion in revenues in 2025, with managed care and other insurers at 48.9%, Managed Medicare at 17.8%, and Medicare at 14.9% of revenues.