Skip to main content
HBNCHorizon Bancorp, Inc.Sell5.5·$19.78-3.42%
Open full analysis

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. (HBNC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.78: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Horizon Bank that provides commercial and retail banking services to individuals and corporate clients in Indiana and Michigan in the United States. The company offers checking, savings, money market, certificates of... Read more

$19.78+1.2% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#167 of 225 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield3.24%(5y avg 4.13%)Payout54.70%sustainable
Stop $18.86Target $20.01(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$21.25+7.4%4 analysts
$20.01our TP
$19.78price
$21.25mean
$22

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.78: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 18d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05

Recent Developments — Horizon Bancorp, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-05T07:10:31Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202618d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Target reached (-8.7% upside)
Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)8.9
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-20.1%
Rev Growth8.5%
Beta0.81
Dividend3.24%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

IV75%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Moat
4.1
Piotroski F
5.6
Operating Margin
10.0
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
3.0
Value Rank
5.0
GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 18d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $18.32Resistance $20.42

Price Targets

$19
$20
A.Upside+1.2%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.7% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (18d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HBNC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.78: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $18.86. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HBNC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.01 (+1.2% upside). Prior stop was $18.86. Stop-loss: $18.86.

What are the risks of investing in HBNC?

Target reached (-8.7% upside); Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0).

Is HBNC overvalued or undervalued?

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 8.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HBNC?

11 analysts cover HBNC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $21.

What does Horizon Bancorp, Inc. do?Horizon Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Horizon Bank that provides commercial and retail banking...

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Horizon Bank that provides commercial and retail banking services to individuals and corporate clients in Indiana and Michigan in the United States. The company offers checking, savings, money market, certificates of deposit, and time deposit accounts, as well as non-interest and interest-bearing demand deposits. It also provides commercial loans, residential real estate loans, mortgage warehouse loans, and consumer loans; home equity loans and lines; auto loans; personal loans and lines; business loans and lines; SBA loans; public fund, medical practice, and franchise financing; and equipment finance solutions. In addition, the company offers corporate and individual trust and agency, investment management, and real estate investment trust services; debit and credit cards; treasury management; and remote deposit, merchant processing, online payment portal, lockbox, smart safe, ACH origination, online bill pay, wire transfer, and positive and reverse positive pay services, as well as sells various life insurance products. Further, it provides online and mobile banking; health savings accounts; wealth management, financial planning, investment management, and insurance services; retirement services, including individual retirement accounts (IRAs), business IRAs, and employee benefit plans; and estate planning and settlement services. Horizon Bancorp, Inc. was founded in 1873 and is headquartered in Michigan City, Indiana.

Related stocks: NBN (Northeast Bank) · BWFG (Bankwell Financial Group, Inc.) · NPB (Northpointe Bancshares, Inc.) · CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · COFS (ChoiceOne Financial Services, I)
Home Stocks HBNC

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga4d agoCONCERNLegal
Benzinga4d agoAnalyst