Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. (GSBD) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the GSBD stock price target?

Take-profit $10.02 (+13.5% upside). Target $10.02 (+13.6%), stop $8.39 (−5.1%), A.R:R -2.1:1.

Q: Is GSBD overvalued or undervalued?

Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.7 (forward 7.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Overall verdict: Hold.

Q: What do analysts say about GSBD?

10 analysts cover GSBD with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $9.

Falling Knife setup

HoldModerate ConfidenceUpdated 6 hr ago (May 20, 2026, 9:56 AM ET)

Financial Services · Asset Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.82, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Target reached (-12.2% upside); Market cap $0.98B below $1B minimum.

$8.82+13.5% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#80 of 109 Asset Management

QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield9.77%

IncomeYield11.31%(5y avg 11.84%)Payout223.44%at-risk

Stop $8.39Target $10.02(resistance)A.R:R -2.1:1

Analyst target$9.13+3.5%4 analysts

$10.02our TP

$8.82price

$9.13mean

$10

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.82, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Target reached (-12.2% upside); Market cap $0.98B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 25, MACD bearish. Market cap $0.98B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc.

Latest news

Sage Rhino Capital LLC Boosts Stock Holdings in Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. $GSBD - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
Earnings Preview: GSBD to Report Financial Results Post-market on May 07 - 富途牛牛 — 富途牛牛 neutral
Earnings Preview: GSBD to Report Financial Results Post-market on May 07 - Moomoo — Moomoo neutral
Truist Securities Maintains Hold on Goldman Sachs BDC, Lowers Price Target to $9 — benzinga May 19, 2026
Goldman Sachs BDC Q1 Adj. EPS $0.22 Misses $0.29 Estimate, Sales $78.793M Miss $82.844M Estimate — benzinga May 8, 2026 negative

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Target reached (-12.2% upside)

Market cap $0.98B below $1B minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.7

P/E (Fwd)7.8

Mkt Cap$985M

EV/EBITDA—

Profit Mgn21.3%

ROE5.1%

Rev Growth-18.7%

Beta—

Dividend11.31%

Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C4.20bearish

IV42%normal

Max Pain$3-71.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value7.915%1.19

Quality6.215%0.93

Growth5.015%0.75

Momentum1.310%0.13

Sentiment3.810%0.38

Insider Activity5.810%0.58

Peer Rank2.510%0.25

Technical Setup7.85%0.39

Risk Profile4.65%0.23

Catalyst3.85%0.19

Overall (Σ contributions)5.01

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.0

Ma Position

1.0

Macd

1.6

Rsi

3.0

Capitulation risk (RSI 25, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank

0.8

Quality Rank

3.1

Value Rank

6.2

Negative sentiment — recent news tone and/or analyst downgrades drag the composite below neutral.static

News Sentiment

0.0

Analyst Rating

5.0

Price Target

5.5

Negative news sentiment (-1.00)

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg

1.0

Earnings History

3.3

Dividend Safety

3.5

Erm

5.0

Earnings Timing

5.0

News Activity

5.0

Earnings concerns: 2B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

GatesMomentum 1.3<4.5A.R:R -2.1=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

25 · Oversold

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $8.65Resistance $10.22

Price Targets

$10

A.Upside+13.6%

A.R:R-2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.2% upside)

! Market cap $0.98B below $1B minimum

! Momentum score 1.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-08-06 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is GSBD stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.82, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Target reached (-12.2% upside); Market cap $0.98B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 25, MACD bearish. Market cap $0.98B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $10.02 (+13.6%), stop $8.39 (−5.1%), A.R:R -2.1:1. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GSBD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.02 (+13.5% upside). Target $10.02 (+13.6%), stop $8.39 (−5.1%), A.R:R -2.1:1. Stop-loss: $8.39.

What are the risks of investing in GSBD?

Target reached (-12.2% upside); Market cap $0.98B below $1B minimum.

Is GSBD overvalued or undervalued?

Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.7 (forward 7.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GSBD?

10 analysts cover GSBD with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $9.

What does Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. do?Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. is a business development company specializing in middle market and mezzanine investment in...

Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. is a business development company specializing in middle market and mezzanine investment in private companies. It seeks to make capital appreciation through direct originations of secured debt, senior secured debt, junior secured debt, including first lien, first lien/last-out unitranche and second lien debt, unsecured debt, including mezzanine debt and, to a lesser extent, investments in equities. The fund primarily invests in United States. It seeks to invest between $10 million and $75 million in companies with EBITDA between $5 million and $75 million annually.