Skip to main content
GRPNGroupon, Inc.Sell5.2·$25.45-0.90%
Open full analysis

Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.45: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 56%; Below-average business quality.

Groupon, Inc. operates a marketplace that connects consumers to merchants by offering goods and services at a discount in North America and international. It provides deals in various categories, including beauty and wellness, food and drink, home and automotive services, and... Read more

$25.45-0.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#28 of 37 Internet Content & Information
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield8.28%
Stop $23.79Target $25.47(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$26.33+3.5%3 analysts
$25.47our TP
$25.45price
$26.33mean
$13
$40

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.45: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 56%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-12.5% upside)
Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)12.4
Mkt Cap$972M
EV/EBITDA126.2
Profit Mgn-20.8%
ROE
Rev Growth0.0%
Beta0.22
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.56bullish
IV112%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.3
Support Resistance
0.4
52w Position
1.9

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.9
Value Rank
4.2
Growth Rank
5.0
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
85 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.59Resistance $25.99

Price Targets

$24
$25
A.Upside+0.1%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.5% upside)
! Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GRPN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.45: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 56%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $23.79. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GRPN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.47 (-0.4% upside). Prior stop was $23.79. Stop-loss: $23.79.

What are the risks of investing in GRPN?

Target reached (-12.5% upside); Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0).

Is GRPN overvalued or undervalued?

Groupon, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 12.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GRPN?

9 analysts cover GRPN with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $26.

What does Groupon, Inc. do?Groupon, Inc. operates a marketplace that connects consumers to merchants by offering goods and services at a discount...

Groupon, Inc. operates a marketplace that connects consumers to merchants by offering goods and services at a discount in North America and international. It provides deals in various categories, including beauty and wellness, food and drink, home and automotive services, and online services, as well as various types of experiences and services; and discounted and market rates for hotels, airfare, and package deals, as well as deals on various product lines, such as electronics, sporting goods, jewelry, toys, household items, and apparel. The company offers its deal offerings to customers through websites; search engines; applications and mobile websites, which enable consumers to browse, purchase, manage, and redeem deals on their mobile devices; emails and push notifications; affiliate channels; social and display advertising; and offline marketing. Groupon, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

Related stocks: BZ (KANZHUN LIMITED - American Depo) · EVER (EverQuote, Inc.) · MTCH (Match Group, Inc.) · OPRA (Opera Limited) · MAX (MediaAlpha, Inc.)
Home Stocks GRPN

Latest news

No recent news