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FRBAFirst BankHold5.1·$19.42
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

First Bank has strong price momentum and a solid Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, but it trades 10.9% above its analyst target near its 52-week high with a mixed earnings record and a valuation that is not cheap relative to growth (PEG 2.44).

Thesis pillars

  • Solid Piotroski Margins→Stable
  • Strong Price Momentum↓Deteriorating
  • Fair Valuation High Peg↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

First Bank (FRBA) Stock Analysis

HoldValueModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.42, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.7% away).

First Bank provides various banking products and services to small and mid-sized businesses and individuals. It accepts various deposits, including non-interest- and interest-bearing demand deposits, money market accounts, savings accounts, and certificates of deposit, as well... Read more

$19.42-9.5% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#199 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield2.47%(5y avg 1.63%)Payout16.07%sustainable
Stop $18.42Analyst target $17.57(reached)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst consensus$20.67+6.4%3 analysts
$19.42price
$20.67mean
$22

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.42, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.7% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 85d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-11-02
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jan 26, 202785d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.7% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.4
P/E (Fwd)10.2
Mkt Cap$481M
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn31.7%
ROE9.6%
Rev Growth4.4%
Beta0.56
Dividend2.47%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

IV62%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.9
Revenue Growth
3.6
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 85d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
83 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $17.20Resistance $19.95

Price Targets

A.Upside-9.5%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-26 (85d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FRBA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.42, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.7% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $17.57 reached (−9.5%), stop $18.42 (−5.4%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FRBA stock price target?

Analyst target $17.57 reached (−9.5% from $19.42); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $17.57 reached (−9.5%), stop $18.42 (−5.4%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Stop-loss: $18.42.

What are the risks of investing in FRBA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.7% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1).

Is FRBA overvalued or undervalued?

First Bank trades at a P/E of 11.4 (forward 10.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FRBA?

9 analysts cover FRBA with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $21.

What does First Bank do?First Bank provides various banking products and services to small and mid-sized businesses and individuals. It accepts...

First Bank provides various banking products and services to small and mid-sized businesses and individuals. It accepts various deposits, including non-interest- and interest-bearing demand deposits, money market accounts, savings accounts, and certificates of deposit, as well as commercial checking and cash management accounts. The company also offers various loan products, such as commercial and industrial loans, which include line of credit, inventory, equipment, and short-term working capital financing; commercial real estate loans comprising owner-occupied, investor, construction and development, and multi-family loans; residential mortgages loans, home equity loans, and revolving lines of credit; and consumer and other loans, such as auto, personal, traditional installment, and other loans. In addition, it provides digital banking services, including online, mobile, telephone banking; ATM and debit cards, and wire and ACH transfer services; remote deposit capture; and cash management services, as well as engages in the capital markets activities. The company operates full-service branches in Cinnaminson, Delanco, Denville, Ewing, Fairfield, Flemington, Hamilton, Lawrenceville, Monroe, Morristown, Oceanport, Pennington, Randolph, Somerset, Trenton, Williamstown, New Jersey; Devon, Doylestown, Lionville, Malvern, Media, Paoli, Trevose, Warminster, and West Chester, Pennsylvania; and Wellington, Florida. First Bank was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Hamilton, New Jersey.

Related stocks: MBIN (Merchants Bancorp) · BWFG (Bankwell Financial Group, Inc.) · GCBC (Greene County Bancorp, Inc.) · BHRB (Burke & Herbert Financial Servi) · CCNE (CNB Financial Corporation)
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