Cresud shows insider buying conviction, a 63% margin of safety, and improving Piotroski quality trends, set against a severe expected earnings decline and a confirmed cyclical-trap valuation warning.
Thesis pillars
- Margin Of Safety Valuation→Stable
- Insider Buying Conviction↓Deteriorating
- Cyclical Earnings Trough Risk↑Improving
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026· older than 90 days
Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A. (CRESY) Stock Analysis
Oversold Bounce setup
Industrials · Conglomerates
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.52 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings expected to decline ~92% (cyclical peak); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8).
Cresud Sociedad Anónima, Comercial, Inmobiliaria, Financiera y Agropecuaria, an agricultural company, engages in the production of agricultural commodities in Brazil and other Latin American countries. It operates through Agricultural Business, and Urban Properties and... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.52 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings expected to decline ~92% (cyclical peak); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8). Chart setup: Oversold RSI 29, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated Oct 28, 2026Recent Developments — Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A.
Latest news
- NEWS Cresud Announces Dividend Payment Scheduled for November 2026 — fiscal.ai Oct 28, 2026 positive
- NEWS Cresud FY26 Results: Net income rises 24% to ARS 372 billion - scanx.trade — scanx.trade Sep 8, 2026 positive
- NEWS Cresud SACIF Q4 EPS $0.57 Down From $0.98 YoY, Sales $293.833M Up From $197.714M YoY — benzinga Sep 8, 2026 negative
- NEWS CRESUD S.A.C.I.F. y A. announces its results for the Fiscal Year 2026 ended June 30, 2026 - uk.finance.yahoo.com — uk.finance.yahoo.com Sep 8, 2026 neutral
- NEWS CRESUD S.A.C.I.F. y A. announces its results for the Fiscal Year 2026 ended June 30, 2026 - tradingview.com — tradingview.com Sep 8, 2026 neutral
Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T12:04:35Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
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Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.52 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings expected to decline ~92% (cyclical peak); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8). Chart setup: Oversold RSI 29, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $9.21. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.
Analyst target: $13.48 (+41.6% upside). Prior stop was $9.21. Stop-loss: $9.21.
Earnings expected to decline ~92% (cyclical peak); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A. trades at a P/E of 4.9 (forward 58.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
9 analysts rate CRESY, with a consensus score of 4.3/5. 2 analysts publish price targets averaging $16.
What does Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A. do?Cresud Sociedad Anónima, Comercial, Inmobiliaria, Financiera y Agropecuaria, an agricultural company, engages in the...
Cresud Sociedad Anónima, Comercial, Inmobiliaria, Financiera y Agropecuaria, an agricultural company, engages in the production of agricultural commodities in Brazil and other Latin American countries. It operates through Agricultural Business, and Urban Properties and Investments segments. The company is also involved in the management, development, and ownership of shopping malls, office buildings, and hotels; sale of grain derivatives, such as flour and oil; production and sale of crops, such as soybean, sugarcane, wheat, corn, oilseed, and sunflower, as well as sorghum and peanuts; and breeding, purchasing, and/or fattening of cattle for sale to slaughterhouses and supermarkets. In addition, it leases its farms to third parties for agriculture, cattle breeding, and seed production; and offers agricultural services. The company was incorporated in 1936 and is headquartered in Buenos Aires, Argentina.