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CRESYCresud S.A.C.I.F. y A.Sell5.0·$11.08+2.21%
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Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A. (CRESY) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Conglomerates

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $11.08: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Earnings expected to decline ~97% (cyclical peak).

Cresud Sociedad Anónima, Comercial, Inmobiliaria, Financiera y Agropecuaria, an agricultural company, engages in the production of agricultural commodities in Brazil and other Latin American countries. The company operates through Agricultural Business, and Business Urban... Read more

$11.08+19.7% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#12 of 19 Conglomerates
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-16192.51%
IncomeYield5.72%(5y avg 3.10%)Payout31.45%sustainable
Stop $10.36Target $13.18(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$15.51+39.9%2 analysts
$13.18our TP
$11.08price
$15.51mean
$16

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $11.08: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Earnings expected to decline ~97% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 3, 202661d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive insider activity
Margin of safety: 63%
Risks
Earnings expected to decline ~97% (cyclical peak)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak overall score: 5.0/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)5.6
P/E (Fwd)164.3
Mkt Cap$781M
EV/EBITDA15.9
Profit Mgn18.0%
ROE16.0%
Rev Growth5.0%
Beta-0.06
Dividend5.72%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.30bullish
IV193%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.8

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Forward Pe
1.0
Ev Ebitda
2.4
Pe
9.9
Ps
10.0
Forward P/E: 164.3x

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
7.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MDividend: 572.0%
GatesMomentum 6.2>=5.5A.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 61d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
20 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.68Resistance $12.80

Price Targets

$10
$13
A.Upside+19.0%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 164x vs trail 6x (29.3x)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-03 (61d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CRESY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $11.08: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Earnings expected to decline ~97% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $10.36. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CRESY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.18 (+19.7% upside). Prior stop was $10.36. Stop-loss: $10.36.

What are the risks of investing in CRESY?

Earnings expected to decline ~97% (cyclical peak); Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak overall score: 5.0/10.

Is CRESY overvalued or undervalued?

Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A. trades at a P/E of 5.6 (forward 164.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CRESY?

9 analysts cover CRESY with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $16.

What does Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A. do?Cresud Sociedad Anónima, Comercial, Inmobiliaria, Financiera y Agropecuaria, an agricultural company, engages in the...

Cresud Sociedad Anónima, Comercial, Inmobiliaria, Financiera y Agropecuaria, an agricultural company, engages in the production of agricultural commodities in Brazil and other Latin American countries. The company operates through Agricultural Business, and Business Urban Properties and Investments segments. It is also involved in the management, development, and ownership of shopping malls, office buildings, and hotels; sale of grain derivatives, such as flour and oil; production and sale of crops, such as soybean, sugarcane, wheat, corn, oilseed, and sunflower, as well as sorghum and peanuts; and breeding, purchasing, and/or fattening of cattle for sale to slaughterhouses and supermarkets. In addition, it leases its farms to third parties for agriculture, cattle breeding, and seed production; and offers agricultural services. The company was incorporated in 1936 and is headquartered in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

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