Cresud shows insider buying conviction, a 63% margin of safety, and improving Piotroski quality trends, set against a severe expected earnings decline and a confirmed cyclical-trap valuation warning.
Thesis pillars
- Margin Of Safety Valuation→Stable
- Insider Buying Conviction→Stable
- Cyclical Earnings Trough Risk↑Improving
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A. (CRESY) Stock Analysis
Momentum Cont setup
Industrials · Conglomerates
Sell if holding. At $12.70, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.1%; Earnings expected to decline ~91% (cyclical peak).
Cresud Sociedad Anónima, Comercial, Inmobiliaria, Financiera y Agropecuaria, an agricultural company, engages in the production of agricultural commodities in Brazil and other Latin American countries. The company operates through Agricultural Business, and Business Urban... Read more
Sell if holding. At $12.70, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.1%; Earnings expected to decline ~91% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 47d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-24Recent Developments — Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A.
Latest news
- NEWS Cresud FY26 Results: Net income rises 24% to ARS 372 billion - scanx.trade — scanx.trade positive
- NEWS CRESUD S.A.C.I.F. y A. announces its results for the Fiscal Year 2026 ended June 30, 2026 - uk.finance.yahoo.com — uk.finance.yahoo.com neutral
- NEWS CRESUD S.A.C.I.F. y A. announces its results for the Fiscal Year 2026 ended June 30, 2026 - tradingview.com — tradingview.com neutral
- NEWS CRESUD S.A.C.I.F. y A. announces its results for the Fiscal Year 2026 ended June 30, 2026 - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- NEWS Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A. (NASDAQ:CRESY) Stock Price Up 4.5% - Should You Buy? - marketbeat.com — marketbeat.com positive
Generated 2026-09-24T19:57:03Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $12.70, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.1%; Earnings expected to decline ~91% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $11.81. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $13.48 (+6.1% upside). Prior stop was $11.81. Stop-loss: $11.81.
Earnings expected to decline ~91% (cyclical peak); Thin upside margin: 6.1%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8).
Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A. trades at a P/E of 7.1 (forward 78.5). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
9 analysts cover CRESY with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $16.
What does Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A. do?Cresud Sociedad Anónima, Comercial, Inmobiliaria, Financiera y Agropecuaria, an agricultural company, engages in the...
Cresud Sociedad Anónima, Comercial, Inmobiliaria, Financiera y Agropecuaria, an agricultural company, engages in the production of agricultural commodities in Brazil and other Latin American countries. The company operates through Agricultural Business, and Business Urban Properties and Investments segments. It is also involved in the management, development, and ownership of shopping malls, office buildings, and hotels; sale of grain derivatives, such as flour and oil; production and sale of crops, such as soybean, sugarcane, wheat, corn, oilseed, and sunflower, as well as sorghum and peanuts; and breeding, purchasing, and/or fattening of cattle for sale to slaughterhouses and supermarkets. In addition, it leases its farms to third parties for agriculture, cattle breeding, and seed production; and offers agricultural services. The company was incorporated in 1936 and is headquartered in Buenos Aires, Argentina.