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EQBKEquity Bancshares, Inc.Hold6.3·$48.68
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Equity Bancshares enters an earnings catalyst with a perfect beat streak and strong growth, but the stock has already reached its price target near a 52-week high, leaving the near-term risk/reward negative.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Gap Despite Strong Fundamentals→Stable
  • Earnings Catalyst Perfect Beat Streak→Stable
  • Strong Revenue Growth→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 6, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Equity Bancshares, Inc. (EQBK) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $48.68, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Equity Bancshares is a Wichita, Kansas-based financial holding company whose subsidiary, Equity Bank, provides commercial and personal banking services through 77 branches across Arkansas, Kansas, Missouri, and Oklahoma. The bank has grown primarily through acquiring community... Read more

$48.68-3.2% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#54 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield1.81%(5y avg 1.05%)Payout42.35%sustainable
Stop $46.30Analyst target $47.10(reached)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst consensus$54.14+11.2%7 analysts
$48.68price
$54.14mean
$60

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $48.68, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Equity Bancshares, Inc.

About Equity Bancshares, Inc.

Equity Bancshares operates Equity Bank, a $6.37 billion-asset commercial bank with 77 branches across Arkansas, Kansas, Missouri, and Oklahoma, holding $5.14 billion in deposits and $4.15 billion in net loans as of December 31, 2025. Commercial real estate loans made up 53.0% of the total loan portfolio, and the company's ten largest borrower relationships represented 10.2% of total loans.

Equity Bank has grown from two branches to 77 through a disciplined acquisition strategy, completing its largest deal to date in July 2025 with the $895.2 million-asset purchase of NBC Corp. of Oklahoma, adding seven branches in Oklahoma City, Altus, Kingfisher, and Enid. The bank splits its franchise between growing metropolitan markets — Kansas City, Wichita, Oklahoma City, and Tulsa, which hold 31% of deposits but 73% of loans — and stable community markets that hold 69% of deposits but only 27% of loans, using the lower-cost community deposits to fund metropolitan commercial lending. Commercial loans made up over 72.5% of the total loan portfolio, of which 73.2% were commercial real estate and 26.8% commercial and industrial, with commercial and industrial loans alone totaling $816.9 million, or 19.5% of total loans.

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Equity Bank's four-state Midwest footprint compounds its commercial real estate concentration: the 10-K states that the geographic concentration subjects the loan portfolio to the general economic conditions within Arkansas, Kansas, Missouri, and Oklahoma, and that this limits the bank's ability to diversify away from local real estate market swings since most collateral securing its loans sits in these same four states. With CRE loans alone representing 53.0% of the total portfolio, a downturn concentrated in any one of these regional economies would fall disproportionately on both the credit quality of Equity Bank's loans and the value of the real estate securing them.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From Equity Bancshares, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jan 20, 202779d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings estimates trending DOWN

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.7
P/E (Fwd)8.9
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn29.5%
ROE12.1%
Rev Growth597.0%
Beta0.81
Dividend1.81%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C44.56bearish
IV56%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
63 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $46.00Resistance $49.67

Price Targets

A.Upside-3.2%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-20 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EQBK stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $48.68, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $47.10 reached (−3.2%), stop $46.30 (−5.1%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EQBK stock price target?

Analyst target $47.10 reached (−3.2% from $48.68); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $47.10 reached (−3.2%), stop $46.30 (−5.1%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $46.30.

What are the risks of investing in EQBK?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Is EQBK overvalued or undervalued?

Equity Bancshares, Inc. trades at a P/E of 10.7 (forward 8.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about EQBK?

13 analysts cover EQBK with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $54.

What does Equity Bancshares, Inc. do?Equity Bancshares is a Wichita, Kansas-based financial holding company whose subsidiary, Equity Bank, provides...

Equity Bancshares is a Wichita, Kansas-based financial holding company whose subsidiary, Equity Bank, provides commercial and personal banking services through 77 branches across Arkansas, Kansas, Missouri, and Oklahoma. The bank has grown primarily through acquiring community banks — most recently NBC Corp. of Oklahoma in July 2025 — and reported $6.37 billion in total assets, $5.14 billion in deposits, and $4.15 billion in net loans as of December 31, 2025, with commercial real estate loans representing 53.0% of the total loan portfolio.

Related stocks: MBIN (Merchants Bancorp) · BWFG (Bankwell Financial Group, Inc.) · GCBC (Greene County Bancorp, Inc.) · BHRB (Burke & Herbert Financial Servi) · CCNE (CNB Financial Corporation)
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