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ECAT (ECAT) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.09: Quality below floor (0.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

$15.09+0.2% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#77 of 112 Asset Management
QualityF-score0 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield21.73%Payout164.52%at-risk
Stop $14.67Target $15.12(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.09: Quality below floor (0.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 78. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (0.9 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (3/5): High leverage (D/E 3.9), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.03% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.0
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE
Rev Growth
Beta
Dividend21.73%
Rating analysts

Quality Signals

Piotroski F0/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
0.0
Moat
4.5
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 0/9Quality concerns
GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
78 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $14.08Resistance $15.43

Price Targets

$15
$15
A.Upside+0.2%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (0.9 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (3/5): High leverage (D/E 3.9), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.03% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for ECAT.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ECAT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.09: Quality below floor (0.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 78. Prior stop was $14.67. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ECAT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.12 (+0.2% upside). Prior stop was $14.67. Stop-loss: $14.67.

What are the risks of investing in ECAT?

Quality below floor (0.9 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (3/5): High leverage (D/E 3.9), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.03% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

Is ECAT overvalued or undervalued?

ECAT trades at a P/E of 7.0 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 9.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

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