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DYNDyne Therapeutics, Inc.Sell5.2·$18.72+2.91%
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Dyne Therapeutics, Inc. (DYN) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.72: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 5.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 11.50; Below-average business quality.

Dyne Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotech developing FORCE platform-based therapeutics for neuromuscular diseases, with lead assets z-rostudirsen (DYNE-251) for DMD exon 51 skipping and z-basivarsen (DYNE-101) for DM1. BLA submission for z-rostudirsen planned Q2 2026 for... Read more

$18.72+84.0% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#84 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-9.72%
Stop $17.40Target $34.43(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 5.6:1
Analyst target$38.25+104.3%16 analysts
$34.43our TP
$18.72price
$38.25mean
$50

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.72: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 5.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 11.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 42d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Dyne Therapeutics, Inc.

About Dyne Therapeutics, Inc.

Dyne Therapeutics' lead DMD program, z-rostudirsen, met its primary endpoint in the DELIVER registrational expansion cohort in December 2025, demonstrating a statistically significant mean muscle content-adjusted dystrophin expression of 5.46% of normal at six months (p<0.0001). A BLA submission to the FDA under Accelerated Approval is planned for Q2 2026, with a potential U.S. commercial launch targeted for Q1 2027. The company has no approved products and reported net losses of $446.2 million in 2025 and $317.4 million in 2024, with $1.1 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities at December 31, 2025.

Dyne generates no product revenue; operations are financed through equity raises and debt. In June 2025, the company entered a Loan Agreement with Hercules providing term loans of up to $275.0 million across multiple tranches — $100.0 million drawn at signing and $50.0 million drawn under the December 2025 First Amendment — with remaining tranches available subject to specified clinical, regulatory, and commercial milestones. Management estimates the $1.1 billion cash position will fund operations into Q1 2028. The second lead program, z-basivarsen for myotonic dystrophy type 1, is in the Phase 1/2 ACHIEVE trial; BLA submission is planned for early Q3 2027 with a potential launch targeted for Q1 2028. Four additional DMD exon-skipping candidates (DYNE-253, DYNE-245, DYNE-244, and DYNE-255) are in IND-enabling studies, while DYNE-302 (FSHD) and DYNE-401 (Pompe) are in earlier preclinical development.

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Z-rostudirsen carries Breakthrough Therapy, Fast Track, and Rare Pediatric Disease designations from the FDA, plus Orphan Drug designation from the FDA, EMA, and Japanese Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare — designations that support a priority review pathway but do not guarantee approval. The FDA placed z-rostudirsen on clinical hold in January 2022 before clearing the IND in July 2022 following additional information submissions, illustrating the regulatory binary risk inherent in the program. Confirmatory Phase 3 trials for z-rostudirsen and z-basivarsen are planned to initiate in Q2 2026 and March 2026, respectively; failure to verify clinical benefit in confirmatory trials could result in withdrawal of any Accelerated Approval granted.

See also: Healthcare · Biotechnology

From Dyne Therapeutics, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 27, 202642d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Pipeline: z-rostudirsen (DMD exon 51)
Concentration risk — Pipeline: z-basivarsen (DM1)
Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-6.1
Mkt Cap$3.0B
EV/EBITDA-4.7
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-58.9%
Rev Growth
Beta1.08
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C11.50bearish
IV251%elevated
Max Pain$14-25.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHpipelinez-rostudirsen (DMD exon 51)
    10-K Item 1: 'We plan to submit a biologics license application, or BLA, to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, or FDA, for U.S. Accelerated Approval of z-rostudirsen for DMD patients who have mutations amenable to exon 51 skipping in the second quarter of 2026'
  • HIGHpipelinez-basivarsen (DM1)
    10-K Item 1: 'We plan to submit a BLA to the FDA for U.S. Accelerated Approval of z-basivarsen for DM1 patients early in the third quarter of 2027.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.8
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatQuality concerns

Volatile — 5.8% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Days To Cover
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Short Interest
1.7
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Beta
6.7
Debt Equity
9.2
High short interest justified: 18%Elevated put/call: 11.50High IV: 251%Above max pain $14Concentration risks: 2 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.5
Value Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
5.0

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.1
Support Resistance
2.4
52w Position
5.0
Gap
5.0
GatesMomentum 6.7>=5.5A.R:R 5.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 42d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.87Resistance $19.61

Price Targets

$17
$34
A.Upside+83.9%
A.R:R5.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (42d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DYN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.72: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 5.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 11.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $17.40. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DYN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $34.43 (+84.0% upside). Prior stop was $17.40. Stop-loss: $17.40.

What are the risks of investing in DYN?

Concentration risk — Pipeline: z-rostudirsen (DMD exon 51); Concentration risk — Pipeline: z-basivarsen (DM1); Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0).

Is DYN overvalued or undervalued?

Dyne Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -6.1). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DYN?

20 analysts cover DYN with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $38.

What does Dyne Therapeutics, Inc. do?Dyne Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotech developing FORCE platform-based therapeutics for neuromuscular diseases,...

Dyne Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotech developing FORCE platform-based therapeutics for neuromuscular diseases, with lead assets z-rostudirsen (DYNE-251) for DMD exon 51 skipping and z-basivarsen (DYNE-101) for DM1. BLA submission for z-rostudirsen planned Q2 2026 for U.S. Accelerated Approval; Phase 3 confirmatory trials for both programs planned in 2026.

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