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Dyne Therapeutics, Inc. (DYN) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.92: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 9.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Dyne Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotech developing FORCE platform-based therapeutics for neuromuscular diseases, with lead assets z-rostudirsen (DYNE-251) for DMD exon 51 skipping and z-basivarsen (DYNE-101) for DM1. BLA submission for z-rostudirsen planned Q2 2026 for... Read more

$15.92+115.8% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#114 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-10.69%
Stop $15.39Target $34.37(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 9.9:1
Analyst target$38.19+139.9%16 analysts
$34.37our TP
$15.92price
$38.19mean
$50

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.92: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 9.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 69d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Dyne Therapeutics, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Pipeline: z-rostudirsen (DMD exon 51)
Concentration risk — Pipeline: z-basivarsen (DM1)
Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-5.5
Mkt Cap$2.7B
EV/EBITDA-4.1
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-58.9%
Rev Growth
Beta1.08
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.07bearish
IV105%elevated
Max Pain$23+41.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHpipelinez-rostudirsen (DMD exon 51)
    10-K Item 1: 'We plan to submit a biologics license application, or BLA, to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, or FDA, for U.S. Accelerated Approval of z-rostudirsen for DMD patients who have mutations amenable to exon 51 skipping in the second quarter of 2026'
  • HIGHpipelinez-basivarsen (DM1)
    10-K Item 1: 'We plan to submit a BLA to the FDA for U.S. Accelerated Approval of z-basivarsen for DM1 patients early in the third quarter of 2027.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.8
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatQuality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
3.1
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+8.7%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.5
Value Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5A.R:R 9.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 69d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.87Resistance $20.02

Price Targets

$15
$34
A.Upside+115.9%
A.R:R9.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (69d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DYN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.92: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 9.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $15.39. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DYN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $34.37 (+115.8% upside). Prior stop was $15.39. Stop-loss: $15.39.

What are the risks of investing in DYN?

Concentration risk — Pipeline: z-rostudirsen (DMD exon 51); Concentration risk — Pipeline: z-basivarsen (DM1); Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0).

Is DYN overvalued or undervalued?

Dyne Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -5.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DYN?

20 analysts cover DYN with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $38.

What does Dyne Therapeutics, Inc. do?Dyne Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotech developing FORCE platform-based therapeutics for neuromuscular diseases,...

Dyne Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotech developing FORCE platform-based therapeutics for neuromuscular diseases, with lead assets z-rostudirsen (DYNE-251) for DMD exon 51 skipping and z-basivarsen (DYNE-101) for DM1. BLA submission for z-rostudirsen planned Q2 2026 for U.S. Accelerated Approval; Phase 3 confirmatory trials for both programs planned in 2026.

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