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Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.68: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. operates Truth Social (social media), Truth+ (streaming), and Truth.Fi (fintech/investment vehicles) in the U.S. The company has minimal operating revenue as an early-stage platform, with ~$2.47B in financial assets and ~$947M in debt as of... Read more

$8.68+16.0% A.UpsideScore 3.9/10#26 of 27 Internet Content & Information
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-10.59%
Stop $8.30Target $10.06(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.68: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 21, MACD bearish. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Val5.0Qual1.7Grw4.0Mom2.1Sent5.0Ins5.0Peer2.1Tech6.0Risk5.13.9OVERALL

Recent Developments — Trump Media & Technology Group

Material events (past 30 days)

  • Apr 24, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: CEO Devin Nunes departed April 21, 2026 via Separation and Release Agreement. Kevin J. McGurn named Interim Chief Executive Officer and principal executive officer. No permanent successor announced.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:56:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)—
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA-5.7
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-101.3%
Rev Growth6.1%
Beta4.18
DividendNone
Rating analysts—

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.41bullish
IV79%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-24Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CEO Devin Nunes departed April 21, 2026 via Separation and Release Agreement. Kevin J. McGurn named Interim Chief Executive Officer and principal executive officer. No permanent successor announced.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-10Item 5.02LOW
    Eric Swider resigned from Board of Directors effective April 6, 2026. No disagreement with management or Board cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-06Item 5.02LOW
    Robert Lighthizer resigned from Board of Directors effective March 6, 2026. No disagreement with management or Board cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
0.8
Current Ratio
4.2
Moat
4.4
Piotroski F
4.4
Cash-burning: FCF -6813% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Ma Position
1.0
Volume
1.4
Obv
1.9
Rsi
3.0
Macd
3.2
Capitulation risk (RSI 21, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -9.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
3.5
Value Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
21 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $8.56Resistance $10.27

Price Targets

$8
$10
A.Upside+15.9%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DJT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.68: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 21, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $8.30. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.

What is the DJT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.06 (+16.0% upside). Prior stop was $8.30. Stop-loss: $8.30.

What are the risks of investing in DJT?

Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0).

Is DJT overvalued or undervalued?

Trump Media & Technology Group trades at a P/E of N/A (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

0
What does Trump Media & Technology Group do?Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. operates Truth Social (social media), Truth+ (streaming), and Truth.Fi...

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. operates Truth Social (social media), Truth+ (streaming), and Truth.Fi (fintech/investment vehicles) in the U.S. The company has minimal operating revenue as an early-stage platform, with ~$2.47B in financial assets and ~$947M in debt as of year-end 2025, and a bitcoin/digital asset treasury strategy.

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