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DJTTrump Media & Technology Group Sell4.2·$8.61+0.79%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Trump Media & Technology Group is a pre-profitability business burning cash at extreme rates with no identifiable competitive advantage, quality metrics well below any investable threshold, a confirmed price downtrend, and recent leadership changes adding governance uncertainty — the data supports exiting rather than holding a position.

Thesis pillars

  • Extreme Cash BurnStable
  • Management Transition RiskStable
  • Confirmed Price DowntrendStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.61: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. operates Truth Social (a social media platform launched April 2022), Truth+ (a streaming TV service reaching connected TVs by October 2024), and Truth.Fi (a fintech/financial services brand launched January 2025 with five ETFs listed on NYSE... Read more

$8.61+1.4% A.UpsideScore 4.2/10#35 of 36 Internet Content & Information
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-10.75%
Stop $8.05Target $8.78(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.61: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 26d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 31, 202626d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA-5.6
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-101.3%
Rev Growth6.1%
Beta4.13
DividendNone
Rating analysts

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.61bullish
IV109%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-24Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CEO Devin Nunes departed effective April 21, 2026 via Separation Agreement; also resigned as Board Chairman. Kevin McGurn appointed Interim CEO effective April 21, 2026. No reason cited beyond transition announcement.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-10Item 5.02LOW
    Board director Eric Swider resigned effective April 6, 2026. Resignation not due to any dispute with management or Board. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
0.8
Current Ratio
4.2
Moat
4.4
Piotroski F
4.4
Cash-burning: FCF -6813% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
2.9
Value Rank
5.0

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
1.0
Support Resistance
1.5
Gap
6.0
GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 26d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $6.96Resistance $8.96

Price Targets

$8
$9
A.Upside+2.0%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (26d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DJT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.61: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Prior stop was $8.05. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DJT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.78 (+1.4% upside). Prior stop was $8.05. Stop-loss: $8.05.

What are the risks of investing in DJT?

Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0).

Is DJT overvalued or undervalued?

Trump Media & Technology Group trades at a P/E of N/A (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

0
What does Trump Media & Technology Group do?Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. operates Truth Social (a social media platform launched April 2022), Truth+ (a...

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. operates Truth Social (a social media platform launched April 2022), Truth+ (a streaming TV service reaching connected TVs by October 2024), and Truth.Fi (a fintech/financial services brand launched January 2025 with five ETFs listed on NYSE by December 2025). The company generates advertising revenue and is developing subscription monetization; it ended 2025 with approximately $2.47 billion in cash, investments, and digital assets against approximately $947.1 million of debt.

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