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Diversified Healthcare Trust (DHC) Stock Analysis

SellHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.98: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Diversified Healthcare Trust is a REIT owning 298 properties (senior living, medical office, life science) in 33 states and Washington D.C., externally managed by The RMR Group. Senior living communities (212 total) are operated under a SHOP structure via third-party managers;... Read more

$8.98-1.8% A.UpsideScore 3.8/10#12 of 13 REIT - Healthcare Facilities
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield11.92%
IncomeYield0.47%(5y avg 1.77%)Payout2.30%
Stop $8.34Target $8.80(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$8.47-5.6%4 analysts
$8.80our TP
$8.98price
$8.47mean
$6
$10

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.98: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 3.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Diversified Healthcare Trust

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Tenant: Sinceri Senior Living (30.8%)
Target reached (-19.6% upside)
Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-18.5
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA20.1
Profit Mgn-21.1%
ROE-17.9%
Rev Growth-5.3%
Beta2.32
Dividend0.47%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C0.13bullish
IV60%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHTenantSinceri Senior Living31%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sinceri Senior Living ... represented 30.8% ... of our gross real estate value as of December 31, 2025'
  • MEDIUMTenantDiscovery Senior Living24%
    10-K Item 1: 'Discovery Senior Living, Tutera Senior Living ... represented 30.8%, 23.7% ... of our gross real estate value as of December 31, 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -5.3% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.2
Declining revenue: -5%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Unprofitable operations — net margin -21.1%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
2.5
Current Ratio
5.6
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
9.4

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
1.5
Value Rank
9.2
GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
75 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $6.92Resistance $8.98

Price Targets

$8
$9
A.Upside-2.0%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-19.6% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DHC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.98: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $8.34. Score 3.8/10, high confidence.

What is the DHC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.80 (-1.8% upside). Prior stop was $8.34. Stop-loss: $8.34.

What are the risks of investing in DHC?

Concentration risk — Tenant: Sinceri Senior Living (30.8%); Target reached (-19.6% upside); Quality below floor (1.3 < 4.0).

Is DHC overvalued or undervalued?

Diversified Healthcare Trust trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -18.5). TrendMatrix value score: 3.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DHC?

9 analysts cover DHC with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $8.

What does Diversified Healthcare Trust do?Diversified Healthcare Trust is a REIT owning 298 properties (senior living, medical office, life science) in 33 states...

Diversified Healthcare Trust is a REIT owning 298 properties (senior living, medical office, life science) in 33 states and Washington D.C., externally managed by The RMR Group. Senior living communities (212 total) are operated under a SHOP structure via third-party managers; Sinceri Senior Living and Discovery Senior Living managed 30.8% and 23.7% of gross real estate value, respectively, as of December 31, 2025.

Related stocks: OHI (Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc) · SBRA (Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc.) · AHR (American Healthcare REIT, Inc.) · MPT (Medical Properties Trust, Inc.) · SILA (Sila Realty Trust, Inc.)