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Diversified Healthcare Trust (DHC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.68: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Diversified Healthcare Trust is a REIT owning 298 properties in 33 states and D.C., including senior living communities and medical office/life science properties. Revenue from rent and resident fees; carries $2.4B consolidated debt with minimal distributions ($0.01/quarter).... Read more

$7.68-0.9% A.UpsideScore 4.2/10#12 of 13 REIT - Healthcare Facilities
Stop $7.14Target $7.61(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$8.00+4.2%3 analysts
$7.61our TP
$7.68price
$8.00mean
$6
$10

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.68: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: senior living community managers or other operators
Target reached (-11.5% upside)
Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-17.2
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA18.6
Profit Mgn-18.6%
ROE-15.8%
Rev Growth0.0%
Beta2.33
Dividend0.53%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

IV76%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersenior living community managers or other operators
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are limited in our ability to operate our senior living communities and are thus dependent on our managers or other operators'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -18.6%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
6.9
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.5
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.8
Support Resistance
0.8
52w Position
9.8

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.8
Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
9.5
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $6.61Resistance $7.77

Price Targets

$7
$8
A.Upside-0.9%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.5% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-04 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DHC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.68: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $7.14. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DHC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $7.61 (-0.9% upside). Prior stop was $7.14. Stop-loss: $7.14.

What are the risks of investing in DHC?

Concentration risk — Supplier: senior living community managers or other operators; Target reached (-11.5% upside); Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).

Is DHC overvalued or undervalued?

Diversified Healthcare Trust trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -17.2). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DHC?

7 analysts cover DHC with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $8.

What does Diversified Healthcare Trust do?Diversified Healthcare Trust is a REIT owning 298 properties in 33 states and D.C., including senior living communities...

Diversified Healthcare Trust is a REIT owning 298 properties in 33 states and D.C., including senior living communities and medical office/life science properties. Revenue from rent and resident fees; carries $2.4B consolidated debt with minimal distributions ($0.01/quarter). Completed transition of 116 SHOP communities to different managers in 2025.

Related stocks: OHI (Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc) · SBRA (Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc.) · MPT (Medical Properties Trust, Inc.) · AHR (American Healthcare REIT, Inc.) · CTRE (CareTrust REIT, Inc.)