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CZNCCitizens & Northern CorpSell6.6·$26.03+0.31%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

CZNC presents a technical breakout and a statistically cheap valuation, but a quality score below the engine's exit floor, a four-quarter earnings-miss streak, and a dividend-safety warning temper the setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Low PegStable
  • Technical Breakout SetupImproving
  • Quality Below Floor Earnings Miss StreakStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Citizens & Northern Corp (CZNC) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $26.03 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-0.2% away).

Citizens & Northern Corporation is a Wellsboro, Pennsylvania-based bank holding company operating Citizens & Northern Bank, with 35 branches across north-central, southeastern, and southcentral Pennsylvania and southern New York. The bank ended 2025 with $3.1 billion in total... Read more

$26.03-11.9% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#29 of 224 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield4.38%(5y avg 5.17%)Payout76.19%
Stop $24.74Target $29.97(default +15%)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$27.00+3.7%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $26.03 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-0.2% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Citizens & Northern Corp

About Citizens & Northern Corp

Citizens & Northern Corporation ended 2025 with $3.1 billion in consolidated total assets, $2.6 billion in total deposits, and $2.4 billion in gross loans, up 89%, 105%, and 99% respectively from year-end 2019. The Wellsboro, Pennsylvania-based bank holding company operates 35 branch offices concentrated in the Northern tier/Northcentral region of Pennsylvania, with additional locations in Southeastern and Southcentral Pennsylvania and the Southern tier of New York. Citizens & Northern Bank is supervised by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and the Pennsylvania Department of Banking and Securities.

Citizens & Northern Bank earns net interest income on commercial, residential, and personal loans funded primarily by core deposits, supplemented by fee income from its trust department and C&N Financial Services, which sells insurance, mutual funds, and annuities through a broker-dealer arrangement. A significant portion of its loan portfolio consists of commercial real estate loans, spanning owner-occupied, non-owner-occupied, and other commercial properties, which regulators generally scrutinize more heavily than residential lending. On October 1, 2025, the company completed its acquisition of Susquehanna Community Financial for $44.6 million in stock, adding seven banking offices in Lycoming, Northumberland, Snyder, and Union counties, following earlier acquisitions of Covenant Financial in 2020 and Monument Bancorp in 2019 that pushed the bank into Southeastern Pennsylvania. It also originates and sells residential mortgages into the secondary market through the MPF Xtra and MPF Original programs administered by the Federal Home Loan Banks of Pittsburgh and Chicago, with $450.1 million in outstanding balances sold and serviced as of December 31, 2025.

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Citizens & Northern's credit risk is concentrated by geography rather than by counterparty: the 10-K states that the Corporation grants loans primarily in its markets across the Northern tier/Northcentral regions of Pennsylvania, the Southern tier of New York, and Southeastern and Southcentral Pennsylvania, and that debtors' ability to repay depends significantly on local economic conditions within those regions. Because commercial real estate makes up a significant share of the loan book, a downturn concentrated in north-central Pennsylvania's economy could pressure asset quality more than at a bank with a wider multi-state footprint, even though management describes the loan portfolio itself as diversified by type.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From Citizens & Northern Corp's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 22, 202670d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (-0.2% away)
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.4
P/E (Fwd)9.4
Mkt Cap$465M
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn19.9%
ROE8.0%
Rev Growth53.2%
Beta0.39
Dividend4.38%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

IV112%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
3.5
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend: 4.4%
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
90 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $22.48Resistance $26.26

Price Targets

$25
$30
A.Upside-11.9%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.9% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-22 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CZNC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $26.03 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-0.2% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $24.74. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CZNC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.97 (-11.9% upside). Prior stop was $24.74. Stop-loss: $24.74.

What are the risks of investing in CZNC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-0.2% away); Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is CZNC overvalued or undervalued?

Citizens & Northern Corp trades at a P/E of 17.4 (forward 9.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CZNC?

6 analysts cover CZNC with a consensus score of 2.2/5. Average price target: $27.

What does Citizens & Northern Corp do?Citizens & Northern Corporation is a Wellsboro, Pennsylvania-based bank holding company operating Citizens & Northern...

Citizens & Northern Corporation is a Wellsboro, Pennsylvania-based bank holding company operating Citizens & Northern Bank, with 35 branches across north-central, southeastern, and southcentral Pennsylvania and southern New York. The bank ended 2025 with $3.1 billion in total assets, $2.6 billion in deposits, and $2.4 billion in loans, earning net interest income supplemented by trust and insurance fee income.

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