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Cytokinetics, Incorporated (CYTK) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $63.54: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 4.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Cytokinetics is a specialty biopharmaceutical company focused on muscle biology, with its first commercial product MYQORZO (aficamten) FDA-approved in December 2025 for obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. Revenue will come from MYQORZO sales (launched January 2026);... Read more

$63.54+31.7% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#105 of 158 Biotechnology
Stop $59.08Target $83.65(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 4.1:1
Analyst target$92.94+46.3%18 analysts
$83.65our TP
$63.54price
$92.94mean
$136

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $63.54: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 4.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: MYQORZO
Concentration risk — Supplier: single source CMOs
Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-12.0
Mkt Cap$7.4B
EV/EBITDA-13.1
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE
Rev Growth4.9%
Beta0.48
DividendNone
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.92neutral
IV207%elevated
Max Pain$25-60.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductMYQORZO
    10-K Item 1A: 'We currently rely on single source CMOs for the manufacture of any or all of MYQORZO as a finished drug product and the active pharmaceutical ingredient and registered starting materials used in the production of MYQORZO'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle source CMOs
    10-K Item 1A: 'We currently rely on single source CMOs for the manufacture of any or all of MYQORZO as a finished drug product and the active pharmaceutical ingredient and registered starting materials used in the production of MYQORZO'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.1
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
8.5
Cash-burning: FCF -431% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
3.1
Quality Rank
5.0

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.7
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dA.R:R 4.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $58.65Resistance $68.71

Price Targets

$59
$84
A.Upside+31.6%
A.R:R4.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CYTK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $63.54: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 4.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $59.08. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CYTK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $83.65 (+31.7% upside). Prior stop was $59.08. Stop-loss: $59.08.

What are the risks of investing in CYTK?

Concentration risk — Product: MYQORZO; Concentration risk — Supplier: single source CMOs; Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0).

Is CYTK overvalued or undervalued?

Cytokinetics, Incorporated trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -12.0). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CYTK?

26 analysts cover CYTK with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $93.

What does Cytokinetics, Incorporated do?Cytokinetics is a specialty biopharmaceutical company focused on muscle biology, with its first commercial product...

Cytokinetics is a specialty biopharmaceutical company focused on muscle biology, with its first commercial product MYQORZO (aficamten) FDA-approved in December 2025 for obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. Revenue will come from MYQORZO sales (launched January 2026); pipeline includes omecamtiv mecarbil for heart failure and earlier-stage candidates.

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