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Corebridge Financial Inc. (CRBG) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.56: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Corebridge Financial, Inc. provides retirement solutions and insurance products in the United States. The company operates through Individual Retirement, Group Retirement, Life Insurance, and Institutional Markets segments. The Individual Retirement segment provides fixed... Read more

$27.56+9.8% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#103 of 109 Asset Management
Stop $25.88Target $30.25(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$34.77+26.2%13 analysts
$30.25our TP
$27.56price
$34.77mean
$41

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.56: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 80. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)4.6
Mkt Cap$12.3B
EV/EBITDA19.9
Profit Mgn-2.0%
ROE-3.0%
Rev Growth5.7%
Beta1.03
Dividend3.60%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C1.24bearish
IV53%elevated
Max Pain$18-34.7% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-17Item 5.02LOW
    Hirotaka Inoue elected as director effective April 21, 2026, as Nippon Life designee per Stockholder Agreement. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-15Item 5.02HIGH
    CAO Mark Filiaggi appointed Interim Chief Financial Officer. Prior CFO role vacated; no permanent successor named. Filiaggi has served as CAO since June 2023.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-24Item 5.02LOW
    Rose Marie Glazer and Adam Burk (AIG designees) resigned from Board effective March 23, 2026, following AIG reduction to approximately 5% ownership. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02LOW
    Minoru Kimura departing Board effective April 20, 2026, due to Nippon Life normal personnel rotation. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -2.0%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
0.1
Current Ratio
4.8
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
5.6
Operating Margin
6.0
Cash-burning: FCF -2% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.5
Bollinger
1.4
52w Position
5.5

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.6
Growth Rank
4.7
Value Rank
9.9

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.9
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesA.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
80 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $22.88Resistance $27.82

Price Targets

$26
$30
A.Upside+9.8%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)
! Reward/Risk 0.7:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-04 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CRBG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.56: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 80. Prior stop was $25.88. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CRBG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $30.25 (+9.8% upside). Prior stop was $25.88. Stop-loss: $25.88.

What are the risks of investing in CRBG?

Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0).

Is CRBG overvalued or undervalued?

Corebridge Financial Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 4.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CRBG?

21 analysts cover CRBG with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $35.

What does Corebridge Financial Inc. do?Corebridge Financial, Inc. provides retirement solutions and insurance products in the United States. The company...

Corebridge Financial, Inc. provides retirement solutions and insurance products in the United States. The company operates through Individual Retirement, Group Retirement, Life Insurance, and Institutional Markets segments. The Individual Retirement segment provides fixed annuities, fixed index and registered index-linked, and variable annuities. The Group Retirement segment offers in-plan products and services comprising an open architecture recordkeeping platform that allows plan participants to allocate money to a variety of mutual fund options or a fixed interest account; flexible group variable and fixed annuity; and in-plan investment advisory services. It also provides out-of-plan products and services, including proprietary and non-proprietary annuities; investment advisory solutions, such as fiduciary, fee-based investments; and brokerage services for non-proprietary variable annuity, securities, life insurance, mutual funds, and 529 plans. The Life Insurance segment offers term, whole, index universal, and guaranteed universal life insurance products. The Institutional Markets segment provides defined contribution and bank-owned life insurance stable value wraps, structured settlement and pension risk transfer annuities, corporate and bank-owned life insurance, private placement variable universal life and annuities products, and guaranteed investment contracts. The company was formerly known as SAFG Retirement Services, Inc. Corebridge Financial, Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

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