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Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (CPRX) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Wait for pullback to $29.59. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $31.21. Engine's entry $29.59 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Supplier: AGAMREE and FYCOMPA licensing partners; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Catalyst Pharmaceuticals is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company selling three FDA-approved rare-disease drugs: FIRDAPSE (LEMS), AGAMREE (DMD), and FYCOMPA (epilepsy). Revenue is derived from net U.S. product sales; the company held $709.2M in cash as of December 31,... Read more

$31.21+7.6% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#25 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.50%
Entry $29.59(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $28.73Target $31.91(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1Setup A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$33.30+6.7%5 analysts
$31.91our TP
$31.21price
$33.30mean
$36

Wait for pullback to $29.59. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $31.21. Engine's entry $29.59 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Supplier: AGAMREE and FYCOMPA licensing partners; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.3 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: AGAMREE and FYCOMPA licensing partners
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.1% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.0
P/E (Fwd)10.0
Mkt Cap$3.8B
EV/EBITDA10.0
Profit Mgn37.1%
ROE24.5%
Rev Growth5.6%
Beta0.72
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C3.18bearish
IV32%normal
Max Pain$10-68.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierAGAMREE and FYCOMPA licensing partners
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are dependent on our licensing partner for supplies of AGAMREE® and FYCOMPA®'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
90 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.89Resistance $32.56

Price Targets

$29
$30
$32
A.Upside+2.2%
A.R:R-0.5:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for CPRX.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CPRX stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $29.59. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $31.21. Engine's entry $29.59 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Supplier: AGAMREE and FYCOMPA licensing partners; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Target $31.91 (+2.2%), stop $28.73 (−8.6%), Setup A.R:R 2.6:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CPRX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $31.91 (+7.6% upside). Target $31.91 (+2.2%), stop $28.73 (−8.6%), Setup A.R:R 2.6:1. Stop-loss: $28.73.

What are the risks of investing in CPRX?

Concentration risk — Supplier: AGAMREE and FYCOMPA licensing partners; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.1% away).

Is CPRX overvalued or undervalued?

Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.0 (forward 10.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about CPRX?

14 analysts cover CPRX with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $33.

What does Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. do?Catalyst Pharmaceuticals is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company selling three FDA-approved rare-disease drugs:...

Catalyst Pharmaceuticals is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company selling three FDA-approved rare-disease drugs: FIRDAPSE (LEMS), AGAMREE (DMD), and FYCOMPA (epilepsy). Revenue is derived from net U.S. product sales; the company held $709.2M in cash as of December 31, 2025. Orphan drug exclusivity and specialty pharmacy distribution provide near-term revenue protection.

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