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Celldex Therapeutics, Inc. (CLDX) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $32.52: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 4.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Celldex Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on mast cell biology, developing therapeutic antibodies for severe inflammatory and allergic diseases. Its lead candidate barzolvolimab targets the KIT receptor and is in Phase 3 trials for chronic... Read more

$32.52+52.2% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#78 of 158 Biotechnology
Stop $30.30Target $49.59(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.1:1
Analyst target$57.00+75.3%14 analysts
$49.59our TP
$32.52price
$57.00mean
$90

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $32.52: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 4.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: barzolvolimab
Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-6.7
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA-5.7
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-40.6%
Rev Growth-89.7%
Beta1.20
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.83neutral
IV76%elevated
Max Pain$15-53.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductbarzolvolimab
    10-K Item 1A: 'Even if we are successful in obtaining regulatory approval for barzolvolimab or one or more of our other drug candidates'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.0
Cash-burning: FCF -8126% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Erm
6.5
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MEarnings in 7 days
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dA.R:R 4.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $28.41Resistance $35.79

Price Targets

$30
$50
A.Upside+52.5%
A.R:R4.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CLDX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $32.52: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 4.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $30.30. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CLDX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $49.59 (+52.2% upside). Prior stop was $30.30. Stop-loss: $30.30.

What are the risks of investing in CLDX?

Concentration risk — Product: barzolvolimab; Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0).

Is CLDX overvalued or undervalued?

Celldex Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -6.7). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CLDX?

22 analysts cover CLDX with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $57.

What does Celldex Therapeutics, Inc. do?Celldex Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on mast cell biology, developing therapeutic...

Celldex Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on mast cell biology, developing therapeutic antibodies for severe inflammatory and allergic diseases. Its lead candidate barzolvolimab targets the KIT receptor and is in Phase 3 trials for chronic spontaneous urticaria; no commercial revenues to date.

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