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Cipher Digital Inc. (CIFR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.81: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality.

Cipher Digital is transitioning from bitcoin mining to a vertically integrated HPC data center developer, with 4.2 GW of capacity across 10 sites and 600 MW under active construction for hyperscaler tenants in Texas. Revenue is expected primarily from long-term leases with... Read more

$18.81+43.1% A.UpsideScore 4.1/10#32 of 34 Information Technology Services
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-37.69%
Stop $17.78Target $27.36(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.9:1
Analyst target$30.40+61.6%15 analysts
$27.36our TP
$18.81price
$30.40mean
$53

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.81: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Cipher Digital Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)40.7
Mkt Cap$7.8B
EV/EBITDA71.6
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-121.7%
Rev Growth-28.8%
Beta3.15
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C1.05bearish
IV108%elevated
Max Pain$1-94.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
0.3

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Moat
2.5
Piotroski F
3.3
Current Ratio
9.9
Cash-burning: FCF -1405% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Volatile — 10.4% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Beta
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Short Interest
1.8
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Put Call
6.3
Days To Cover
8.6
High short interest justified: 17%High IV: 108%Above max pain $1

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
6.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
GatesMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.2>=4.5A.R:R 2.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $16.48Resistance $22.96

Price Targets

$18
$27
A.Upside+45.5%
A.R:R2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CIFR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.81: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $17.78. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CIFR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $27.36 (+43.1% upside). Prior stop was $17.78. Stop-loss: $17.78.

What are the risks of investing in CIFR?

Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0).

Is CIFR overvalued or undervalued?

Cipher Digital Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 40.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CIFR?

22 analysts cover CIFR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $30.

What does Cipher Digital Inc. do?Cipher Digital is transitioning from bitcoin mining to a vertically integrated HPC data center developer, with 4.2 GW...

Cipher Digital is transitioning from bitcoin mining to a vertically integrated HPC data center developer, with 4.2 GW of capacity across 10 sites and 600 MW under active construction for hyperscaler tenants in Texas. Revenue is expected primarily from long-term leases with Fluidstack (Google-backstopped) and Amazon at two sites totaling ~300 MW each.

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