Cipher Digital Inc. (CIFR) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Technology · Information Technology Services
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.89: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 2.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Cipher Digital develops and operates industrial-scale HPC data centers in Texas for hyperscaler tenants under long-term leases, while also operating approximately 207 MW of bitcoin mining. Its 4.2 GW portfolio across 10 sites includes Barber Lake (300 MW, leased to Fluidstack... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.89: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 2.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHTenantsingle-tenant data centers10-K Item 1A: 'our data centers are single-tenant properties, and we expect future tenants at other sites in our pipeline to also want to be the only tenant at those sites'
- HIGHTenantAmazon, Fluidstack10-K Item 1A: 'If we were to lose one or more of our customers, including by defaulting on one of our leases with Amazon or Fluidstack/Google)'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-11Item 5.02LOWThomas Duda elected to Board of Directors effective February 11, 2026; Board expanded from 7 to 8 directors. Non-executive board appointment; no officer departures.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
6 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Volatile — 8.6% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.89: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 2.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $16.69. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $24.36 (+35.7% upside). Prior stop was $16.69. Stop-loss: $16.69.
Concentration risk — Tenant: single-tenant data centers; Concentration risk — Tenant: Amazon, Fluidstack; Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0).
Cipher Digital Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 31.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
22 analysts cover CIFR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $28.
What does Cipher Digital Inc. do?Cipher Digital develops and operates industrial-scale HPC data centers in Texas for hyperscaler tenants under long-term...
Cipher Digital develops and operates industrial-scale HPC data centers in Texas for hyperscaler tenants under long-term leases, while also operating approximately 207 MW of bitcoin mining. Its 4.2 GW portfolio across 10 sites includes Barber Lake (300 MW, leased to Fluidstack backed by Google) and a site leased to Amazon.