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CHMGChemung Financial CorpHold6.1·$81.64-2.41%
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Chemung Financial Corp (CHMG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $81.64, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Target reached (-13.1% upside); Market cap $394M below $400M minimum.

Chemung Financial Corporation operates as a bank holding company for Chemung Canal Trust Company that provides a range of banking, financing, fiduciary, and other financial services. The company provides demand, savings, and time deposits; non-interest and interest-bearing... Read more

$81.64-13.1% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#81 of 227 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.63%(5y avg 2.64%)Payout19.54%sustainable
Stop $77.54Target $83.30(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$83.50+2.3%2 analysts
$83.30our TP
$81.64price
$83.50mean
$81
$86

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $81.64, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Target reached (-13.1% upside); Market cap $394M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Market cap $394M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-20

Recent Developments — Chemung Financial Corp

Generated 2026-08-20T13:27:08Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 21, 202662d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-13.1% upside)
Market cap $394M below $400M minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.0
P/E (Fwd)10.3
Mkt Cap$394M
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn28.7%
ROE13.3%
Rev Growth241.7%
Beta0.60
Dividend1.63%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.3
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 62d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $72.80Resistance $85.00

Price Targets

$78
$83
A.Upside-13.1%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.1% upside)
! Market cap $394M below $400M minimum
! momentum at 3.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-21 (62d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHMG stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $81.64, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Target reached (-13.1% upside); Market cap $394M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Market cap $394M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $83.30 (+2.0%), stop $77.54 (−5.3%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CHMG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $83.30 (-13.1% upside). Target $83.30 (+2.0%), stop $77.54 (−5.3%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Stop-loss: $77.54.

What are the risks of investing in CHMG?

Target reached (-13.1% upside); Market cap $394M below $400M minimum.

Is CHMG overvalued or undervalued?

Chemung Financial Corp trades at a P/E of 12.0 (forward 10.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CHMG?

8 analysts cover CHMG with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $84.

What does Chemung Financial Corp do?Chemung Financial Corporation operates as a bank holding company for Chemung Canal Trust Company that provides a range...

Chemung Financial Corporation operates as a bank holding company for Chemung Canal Trust Company that provides a range of banking, financing, fiduciary, and other financial services. The company provides demand, savings, and time deposits; non-interest and interest-bearing checking accounts; and insured money market deposits. It also offers commercial and agricultural loans comprising loans to small to mid-sized businesses; commercial and residential mortgage loans; and consumer loans, including home equity lines of credit and home equity term loans, as well as automobile loans. In addition, the company provides interest rate swaps, letters of credit, employee benefit plans, insurance products, mutual fund, brokerage, and tax preparation services. Further, it offers guardian, custodian, trustee, investment, pension, estate planning, and employee benefit administrative services, as well as acts as an agent for pension, profit-sharing, and other employee benefit trusts. The company was founded in 1833 and is based in Elmira, New York.

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