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Celcuity Inc. (CELC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $120.71: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Celcuity is a clinical-stage biotech developing gedatolisib, a pan-PI3K/mTOR inhibitor, for HR+/HER2- advanced breast cancer in Phase 3 trials (VIKTORIA-1 and VIKTORIA-2) and metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer. The company has no revenue; commercialization depends... Read more

$120.71+4.9% A.UpsideScore 4.1/10#145 of 158 Biotechnology
Stop $112.11Target $126.51(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$130.55+8.1%11 analysts
$126.51our TP
$120.71price
$130.55mean
$94
$155

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $120.71: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: gedatolisib
Target reached (-5.8% upside)
Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-108.2
Mkt Cap$5.8B
EV/EBITDA-32.7
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-163.8%
Rev Growth
Beta0.42
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV89%elevated
Max Pain$45-62.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductgedatolisib
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our future success and ability to generate revenue, if ever, is dependent on our ability to successfully develop, obtain regulatory approval for and commercialize gedatolisib'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-12Item 5.02LOW
    Charles (Chip) R. Romp appointed as director, filling a vacancy created by board expansion from 7 to 8 members, effective February 11, 2026. Serves through 2026 Annual Meeting. No committees assigned yet.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
5.0

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $106.58Resistance $129.09

Price Targets

$112
$127
A.Upside+4.8%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.8% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-13 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CELC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $120.71: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $112.11. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CELC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $126.51 (+4.9% upside). Prior stop was $112.11. Stop-loss: $112.11.

What are the risks of investing in CELC?

Concentration risk — Product: gedatolisib; Target reached (-5.8% upside); Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0).

Is CELC overvalued or undervalued?

Celcuity Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -108.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CELC?

17 analysts cover CELC with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $131.

What does Celcuity Inc. do?Celcuity is a clinical-stage biotech developing gedatolisib, a pan-PI3K/mTOR inhibitor, for HR+/HER2- advanced breast...

Celcuity is a clinical-stage biotech developing gedatolisib, a pan-PI3K/mTOR inhibitor, for HR+/HER2- advanced breast cancer in Phase 3 trials (VIKTORIA-1 and VIKTORIA-2) and metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer. The company has no revenue; commercialization depends entirely on regulatory approval of gedatolisib.

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