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Crown Castle Inc. (CCI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Specialty

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $88.03 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: T-Mobile, AT&T, and Verizon Wireless (90.0%).

Crown Castle owns and operates 40,000+ U.S. towers, generating 95% of revenues from long-term site rental leases. T-Mobile, AT&T, and Verizon Wireless collectively accounted for approximately 90% of 2025 site rental revenues. The company is divesting its Fiber Business to Zayo... Read more

$88.03+1.3% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#13 of 14 REIT - Specialty
Stop $83.06Target $88.85(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$98.72+12.1%20 analysts
$88.85our TP
$88.03price
$98.72mean
$125

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $88.03 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: T-Mobile, AT&T, and Verizon Wireless (90.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 53. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: T-Mobile, AT&T, and Verizon Wireless (90.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak overall score: 4.6/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)36.2
P/E (Fwd)29.0
Mkt Cap$37.5B
EV/EBITDA24.6
Profit Mgn25.1%
ROE
Rev Growth-4.8%
Beta0.96
Dividend4.95%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.83bearish
IV42%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerT-Mobile, AT&T, and Verizon Wireless90%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our largest tenants are T-Mobile, AT&T and Verizon Wireless, which collectively accounted for approximately 90% of our 2025 site rental revenues.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-25Item 5.02LOW
    Board approved 2026 EMT Annual Incentive Plan for executive management team including CEO Christian Hillabrant. Performance-based cash payment program. Compensatory arrangement.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-04Item 2.05MEDIUM
    2026 Restructuring Plan initiated: ~20% headcount reduction in continuing tower/corporate operations; estimated $30M total charges ($20M severance Q1 2026, up to $10M for office/IT consolidation).
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -4.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.3
Declining revenue: -5%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.0
Support Resistance
2.1
52w Position
5.7

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.5
Value Rank
3.5
Quality Rank
3.8

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Ma Position
6.0
Macd
7.4
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5A.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $80.29Resistance $89.68

Price Targets

$83
$89
A.Upside+0.9%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.3% upside)
! Momentum score 3.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CCI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $88.03 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: T-Mobile, AT&T, and Verizon Wireless (90.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 53. Prior stop was $83.06. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CCI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $88.85 (+1.3% upside). Prior stop was $83.06. Stop-loss: $83.06.

What are the risks of investing in CCI?

Concentration risk — Customer: T-Mobile, AT&T, and Verizon Wireless (90.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.6/10.

Is CCI overvalued or undervalued?

Crown Castle Inc. trades at a P/E of 36.2 (forward 29.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CCI?

24 analysts cover CCI with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $99.

What does Crown Castle Inc. do?Crown Castle owns and operates 40,000+ U.S. towers, generating 95% of revenues from long-term site rental leases....

Crown Castle owns and operates 40,000+ U.S. towers, generating 95% of revenues from long-term site rental leases. T-Mobile, AT&T, and Verizon Wireless collectively accounted for approximately 90% of 2025 site rental revenues. The company is divesting its Fiber Business to Zayo and EQT for $8.5B, expected to close in H1 2026.

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