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CCICrown Castle Inc.Sell4.3·$92.17
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Crown Castle has a 3-of-4 earnings beat record and strong margins, but revenue is declining 7%, 90% of revenue comes from three carriers, and the price is 5.1% above the analyst target.

Thesis pillars

  • Rich Cash Flow Valuation→Stable
  • Customer Concentration Risk↑Improving
  • Declining Revenue Weak Growth→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 23, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Crown Castle Inc. (CCI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ShortHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Specialty

Sell if holding. At $92.17, A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: T-Mobile, AT&T and Verizon Wireless (90.0%); Concentration risk — Product: site rental revenues (95.0%).

Crown Castle owns and operates more than 40,000 towers across the U.S., generating site rental revenues from long-term tenant contracts with wireless carriers. T-Mobile, AT&T, and Verizon Wireless collectively accounted for approximately 90% of 2025 site rental revenues, which... Read more

$92.17-8.7% A.UpsideScore 4.3/10#17 of 17 REIT - Specialty
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield2.10%
IncomeYield4.61%(5y avg 4.84%)Payout172.76%
Stop $85.72Analyst target $84.15(reached)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst consensus$93.50+1.4%21 analysts with price targets
$92.17price
$93.50mean
$80
$120

Sell if holding. At $92.17, A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: T-Mobile, AT&T and Verizon Wireless (90.0%); Concentration risk — Product: site rental revenues (95.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75. Score 4.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 90d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

No fresh coverage since Oct 21, 2026

Recent Developments — Crown Castle Inc.

Latest item Oct 21, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T12:04:08Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Feb 3, 202790d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: T-Mobile, AT&T and Verizon Wireless (90.0%)
Concentration risk — Product: site rental revenues (95.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.0
P/E (Fwd)31.5
Mkt Cap$39.2B
EV/EBITDA23.5
Profit Mgn20.1%
ROE—
Rev Growth-7.2%
Beta0.91
Dividend4.61%
Analysts with ratings27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C1.02bearish
IV40%normal
Max Pain$50-45.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerT-Mobile, AT&T and Verizon Wireless90%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our three largest tenants are T-Mobile, AT&T and Verizon Wireless. Collectively, these three tenants accounted for approximately 90% of our 2025 site rental revenues.'
  • HIGHProductsite rental revenues95%
    10-K Item 1: 'Site rental revenues represented 95% of our 2025 net revenues.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-01Item 2.01HIGH
    Crown Castle completed the sale of its fiber solutions business to Fiber Finco, LLC (Zayo Purchaser) and its small cells business to Small Cells Holdco Inc. (Arium Networks) for aggregate cash proceeds of $8.5 billion, effective May 1, 2026.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-01Item 1.01MEDIUM
    Crown Castle entered into a new $4.5 billion unsecured revolving credit facility with JPMorgan Chase Bank N.A. as administrative agent, replacing the existing credit agreement. As of May 1, 2026, approximately $39.4 million was drawn in letters of credit.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-01Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Crown Castle terminated its existing credit agreement, replaced by the new $4.5 billion unsecured revolving credit facility entered into on May 1, 2026 with JPMorgan Chase Bank N.A. as administrative agent.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -7.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
0.7
Declining revenue: -7%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.7
Value Rank
2.5
Quality Rank
5.3

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Ps
3.7
Analyst Target
4.0
P Ocf
6.0
P/OCF: 18.5x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.1
Bollinger
0.8
Gap
5.0
52w Position
9.3
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)8K FLAG 1.02Momentum 5.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 90d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
75 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $67.47Resistance $92.34

Price Targets

A.Upside-8.7%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-03 (90d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CCI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $92.17, A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: T-Mobile, AT&T and Verizon Wireless (90.0%); Concentration risk — Product: site rental revenues (95.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75. Prior stop was $85.72. Score 4.3/10, high confidence.

What is the CCI stock price target?

Analyst target $84.15 reached (−8.7% from $92.17); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $85.72. Stop-loss: $85.72.

What are the risks of investing in CCI?

Concentration risk — Customer: T-Mobile, AT&T and Verizon Wireless (90.0%); Concentration risk — Product: site rental revenues (95.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is CCI overvalued or undervalued?

Crown Castle Inc. trades at a P/E of 37.0 (forward 31.5). TrendMatrix value score: 3.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CCI?

27 analysts rate CCI, with a consensus score of 3.7/5. 21 analysts publish price targets averaging $93.

What does Crown Castle Inc. do?Crown Castle owns and operates more than 40,000 towers across the U.S., generating site rental revenues from long-term...

Crown Castle owns and operates more than 40,000 towers across the U.S., generating site rental revenues from long-term tenant contracts with wireless carriers. T-Mobile, AT&T, and Verizon Wireless collectively accounted for approximately 90% of 2025 site rental revenues, which represented 95% of total net revenues. Contracts run five to 15 years with multiple renewal periods and built-in contractual escalations.

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