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CBANColony Bankcorp, Inc.Hold6.6·$20.34
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Colony Bankcorp is cheaply valued (forward P/E 8.6x) with 25% growth and insider buying, but only 4.9% upside to the analyst target and heavy real estate loan concentration limit the setup, with earnings in 4 days.

Thesis pillars

  • Real Estate Loan Concentration↑Improving
  • Attractive Bank Valuation→Stable
  • Strong Growth Profile↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 13, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Colony Bankcorp, Inc. (CBAN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $20.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate and commercial, financial and agricultural loans (74.4%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate collateral (84.5%).

Colony Bankcorp is a bank holding company whose subsidiary Colony Bank provides commercial and retail banking services concentrated in Georgia, Alabama and Florida. The bank's loan portfolio is heavily weighted toward commercial real estate and commercial, financial and... Read more

$20.34+5.0% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#18 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield2.36%(5y avg 2.91%)Payout28.48%sustainable
Stop $19.44Analyst target $21.36(−15% haircut)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst consensus$25.13+23.5%2 analysts
$21.36Analyst target
$20.34price
$25.13mean
$26

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $20.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate and commercial, financial and agricultural loans (74.4%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate collateral (84.5%). Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 93d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-11-02
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Feb 3, 202793d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate and commercial, financial and agricultural loans (74.4%)
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate collateral (84.5%)
Thin upside margin: 5.0%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.2
P/E (Fwd)8.5
Mkt Cap$432M
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn24.3%
ROE10.8%
Rev Growth26.0%
Beta0.55
Dividend2.36%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

IV65%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfoliocommercial real estate and commercial, financial and agricultural loans74%
    10-K Item 1A: 'At December 31, 2025, our portfolio of commercial real estate and commercial, financial and agricultural loans totaled $1.8 billion or 74.4% of total loans compared to $1.4 billion, or 76.5% of total loans at December 31, 2024.'
  • HIGHloan_portfolioreal estate collateral85%
    10-K Item 1A: 'At December 31, 2025, approximately 84.5% of our loan portfolio was comprised of loans with real estate as a primary or secondary component of collateral.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicGeorgia, Alabama and Florida
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our business and operations are sensitive to general business and economic conditions in the United States, generally, and particularly in the states of Georgia, Alabama and Florida.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 93d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $19.56Resistance $20.82

Price Targets

$19
$21
A.Upside+5.0%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-03 (93d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CBAN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $20.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate and commercial, financial and agricultural loans (74.4%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate collateral (84.5%). Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $21.36 (+5.0%), stop $19.44 (−4.6%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CBAN stock price target?

Analyst target: $21.36 (+5.0% upside). Analyst target $21.36 (+5.0%), stop $19.44 (−4.6%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Stop-loss: $19.44.

What are the risks of investing in CBAN?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate and commercial, financial and agricultural loans (74.4%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate collateral (84.5%); Thin upside margin: 5.0%.

Is CBAN overvalued or undervalued?

Colony Bankcorp, Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.2 (forward 8.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CBAN?

8 analysts cover CBAN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $25.

What does Colony Bankcorp, Inc. do?Colony Bankcorp is a bank holding company whose subsidiary Colony Bank provides commercial and retail banking services...

Colony Bankcorp is a bank holding company whose subsidiary Colony Bank provides commercial and retail banking services concentrated in Georgia, Alabama and Florida. The bank's loan portfolio is heavily weighted toward commercial real estate and commercial, financial and agricultural lending, which together totaled $1.8 billion, or 74.4% of total loans, at December 31, 2025, while approximately 84.5% of the entire loan portfolio is secured by real estate as a primary or secondary collateral component.

Related stocks: MBIN (Merchants Bancorp) · BWFG (Bankwell Financial Group, Inc.) · GCBC (Greene County Bancorp, Inc.) · BHRB (Burke & Herbert Financial Servi) · CCNE (CNB Financial Corporation)
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