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BioNTech SE (BNTX) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellHigh Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $104.34: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

BioNTech SE, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and commercialization of immunotherapies in Germany. The company offers BNT162, an mRNA vaccine for the treatment of SARS-CoV-2 virus. It also develops oncology drugs under Phase III clinical trial,... Read more

$104.34+12.5% A.UpsideScore 4.0/10#150 of 158 Biotechnology
Stop $96.97Target $117.35(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$130.39+25.0%18 analysts
$117.35our TP
$104.34price
$130.39mean
$75
$173

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $104.34: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Score 4.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-22.7
Mkt Cap$25.7B
EV/EBITDA-9.7
Profit Mgn-39.6%
ROE-5.9%
Rev Growth-23.7%
Beta1.59
DividendNone
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV68%elevated
Max Pain$60-42.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -23.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -24%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Unprofitable operations — net margin -39.6%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Rule Of 40
3.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
5.5
Gross Margin
10.0
Cash-burning: FCF -38% of revenueNo competitive moatRule of 40: -62 (fail)Quality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 5 days
GatesA.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $87.45Resistance $113.26

Price Targets

$97
$117
A.Upside+12.5%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)
! Reward/Risk 0.8:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BNTX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $104.34: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $96.97. Score 4.0/10, high confidence.

What is the BNTX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $117.35 (+12.5% upside). Prior stop was $96.97. Stop-loss: $96.97.

What are the risks of investing in BNTX?

Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0).

Is BNTX overvalued or undervalued?

BioNTech SE trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -22.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BNTX?

27 analysts cover BNTX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $130.

What does BioNTech SE do?BioNTech SE, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and commercialization of immunotherapies in...

BioNTech SE, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and commercialization of immunotherapies in Germany. The company offers BNT162, an mRNA vaccine for the treatment of SARS-CoV-2 virus. It also develops oncology drugs under Phase III clinical trial, including Gotistobart for metastatic non-small cell lung cancer, Pumitamig for small cell lung cancer and advanced/metastatic triple-negative breast cancer, and Trastuzumab pamirtecan for metastatic breast cancer and epirubicin and cyclophosphamide; and drugs under Phase 2/3 clinical trial, such as BNT113 for human papillomavirus and head and neck squamous cell carcinoma, as well as Pumitamig for metastatic colorectal and non-small cell lung cancer. In addition, the company engages in the development of oncology drugs under Phase II clinical trial comprising BNT116 for advance non-small cell lung cancer, BNT326/YL202 for multiple solid tumors and advanced/metastatic breast cancer, Autogene cevumeran for advance colorectal cancer, and Gotistobart for platinum-resistant ovarian cancer, as well as Pumitamig for glioblastoma, hepatocellular carcinoma, malignant pleural mesothelioma, neuroendocrine neoplasms, and metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma. Further, it develops BNT166 which is Phase II clinical trial for mpox virus; and infectious diseases drugs under Phase 1/2 clinical trial, which include BNT162 + BNT161 for SARS-CoV-2 and influenza, BNT164 for tuberculosis, BNT165 for malaria, and BNT166 for mpox. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Mainz, Germany.

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