Skip to main content
BNTXBioNTech SESell5.1·$90.70
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

BioNTech has 19.0% upside to the $104.93 analyst target and low leverage, but quality of 3.4 is below the 4.0 floor, the company burns cash and insiders have been selling.

Thesis pillars

  • Analyst Target Upside→Stable
  • Cash Burn Below Quality Floor→Stable
  • Insider Selling Pressure↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

BioNTech SE (BNTX) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellValueQualityShortModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $90.70: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

BioNTech SE, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and commercialization of immunotherapies in Germany. The company offers BNT162, an mRNA vaccine for the treatment of SARS-CoV-2 virus. It also develops oncology drugs under Phase III clinical trial,... Read more

$90.70+16.1% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#161 of 241 Biotechnology
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-1.11%
Stop $85.40Analyst target $105.28(−10% haircut)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst consensus$116.98+29.0%20 analysts with price targets
$105.28Analyst target
$90.70price
$116.98mean
$76
$145

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $90.70: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 51. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 117d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 4, 2026

Recent Developments — BioNTech SE

Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:59:09Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Mar 2, 2027117d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-16.6
Mkt Cap$22.5B
EV/EBITDA-6.3
Profit Mgn-63.6%
ROE-9.3%
Rev Growth-59.5%
Beta1.33
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.19bearish
IV44%normal
Max Pain$80-11.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Unprofitable operations — net margin -63.6%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Rule Of 40
3.0
Current Ratio
5.2
Moat
5.5
Piotroski F
6.7
Gross Margin
10.0
Cash-burning: FCF -9% of revenueRule of 40: -69 (fail)
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5A.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 117d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
51 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $85.00Resistance $98.60

Price Targets

$85
$105
A.Upside+16.1%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-03-02 (117d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BNTX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $90.70: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 51. Prior stop was $85.40. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BNTX stock price target?

Analyst target: $105.28 (+16.1% upside). Prior stop was $85.40. Stop-loss: $85.40.

What are the risks of investing in BNTX?

Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is BNTX overvalued or undervalued?

BioNTech SE trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -16.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BNTX?

29 analysts rate BNTX, with a consensus score of 3.9/5. 20 analysts publish price targets averaging $117.

What does BioNTech SE do?BioNTech SE, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and commercialization of immunotherapies in...

BioNTech SE, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and commercialization of immunotherapies in Germany. The company offers BNT162, an mRNA vaccine for the treatment of SARS-CoV-2 virus. It also develops oncology drugs under Phase III clinical trial, including Gotistobart for metastatic non-small cell lung cancer, Pumitamig for small cell lung cancer and advanced/metastatic triple-negative breast cancer, and Trastuzumab pamirtecan for metastatic breast cancer and epirubicin and cyclophosphamide; and drugs under Phase 2/3 clinical trial, such as BNT113 for human papillomavirus and head and neck squamous cell carcinoma, as well as Pumitamig for metastatic colorectal and non-small cell lung cancer. In addition, the company engages in the development of oncology drugs under Phase II clinical trial comprising BNT116 for advance non-small cell lung cancer, BNT326/YL202 for multiple solid tumors and advanced/metastatic breast cancer, Autogene cevumeran for advance colorectal cancer, and Gotistobart for platinum-resistant ovarian cancer, as well as Pumitamig for glioblastoma, hepatocellular carcinoma, malignant pleural mesothelioma, neuroendocrine neoplasms, and metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma. Further, it develops BNT166 which is Phase II clinical trial for mpox virus; and infectious diseases drugs under Phase 1/2 clinical trial, which include BNT162 + BNT161 for SARS-CoV-2 and influenza, BNT164 for tuberculosis, BNT165 for malaria, and BNT166 for mpox. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Mainz, Germany.

Related stocks: ARGX (argenx SE) · ASND (Ascendis Pharma A/S) · REGN (Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · TARS (Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · LEGN (Legend Biotech Corporation)
Home › Stocks › BNTX

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga13h agoAnalyst
Benzinga18h agoAnalyst
Fiscal.ai19h ago
Fiscal.ai19h agoAnalyst
Benzinga20h agoAnalyst
Benzinga23h ago
Fiscal.ai23h ago
Benzinga2d agoEarnings
Benzinga2d agoFda Decision
Benzinga2d agoFda Decision
Benzinga2d ago
Benzinga2d ago
Benzinga2d agoEarnings
Benzinga2d agoEarnings
Benzinga2d agoEarnings
Fiscal.ai2d ago
Benzinga2d ago
Benzinga2d agoEarnings
Benzinga10d agoFda Decision
Fiscal.ai10d ago
Loading more...