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BMRNBioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.Sell5.0·$55.10-1.51%
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BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. (BMRN) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $55.10 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: top-3 customers (37.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Sanofi.

BioMarin Pharmaceutical develops and commercializes rare disease medicines with 8 commercial products including VOXZOGO ($926.9M) for achondroplasia, VIMIZIM ($792.1M) for MPS IVA, and NAGLAZYME ($485.4M) for MPS VI, totaling $3.2B in 2025 revenues. Products target genetically... Read more

$55.10+43.5% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#109 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.25%
Stop $51.49Target $79.06(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 4.1:1
Analyst target$87.85+59.4%26 analysts
$79.06our TP
$55.10price
$87.85mean
$120

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $55.10 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: top-3 customers (37.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Sanofi. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.

About BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.

BioMarin Pharmaceutical's eight commercial therapies generated $3.2 billion in total revenues in 2025, with VOXZOGO (vosoritide for achondroplasia) at $926.9 million and VIMIZIM (elosulfase alpha for MPS IVA) at $792.1 million as the two largest contributors. ALDURAZYME for MPS I is commercialized exclusively by Sanofi globally, while all other products are marketed directly in the U.S., Europe, South America, and other significant markets. In December 2025, BioMarin signed a definitive agreement to acquire Amicus Therapeutics for approximately $4.8 billion in an all-cash transaction expected to close in the second quarter of 2026.

Revenue comes from rare-disease therapies sold through specialty pharmacies, hospitals, non-U.S. government agencies, and distributors. During 2025, three customers generated 37% of net product revenue, and Sanofi is the sole global customer for ALDURAZYME, purchasing all supply from BioMarin in exchange for royalties of 39.5% to 50% of worldwide net sales depending on volume. API for VOXZOGO, NAGLAZYME, PALYNZIQ, and ALDURAZYME is manufactured in-house at Novato, California; API for BRINEURA and VIMIZIM comes from Shanbally, Cork, Ireland, a facility that received EU drug product filling approval in 2024. PALYNZIQ and KUVAN API are sourced from third-party contract manufacturers. Generic versions of KUVAN have entered the U.S. and EU markets, continuing to erode KUVAN revenues. BioMarin's pipeline includes a pivotal Phase 3 VOXZOGO study in hypochondroplasia and Phase 1/2 data for BMN 351 in Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy showing 5.0% mean absolute dystrophin expression at week 25 in the 9 mg/kg cohort.

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BioMarin's manufacturing relies on both in-house facilities and third-party contract manufacturers, and in certain instances there is only one approved contract manufacturer for specific aspects of the process. Similarly, certain raw materials are available from only a sole-source supplier—designated as the only recognized supply source with no alternative. A disruption at any sole-source supplier or single-approved contract manufacturer could delay product availability for ultra-rare diseases where patients have no therapeutic substitute and where regulatory re-qualification of backup suppliers is a lengthy, inspection-dependent process. The company mitigates this through safety stock and supply agreements but acknowledges future supply continuity cannot be guaranteed.

See also: Healthcare · Biotechnology

From BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 44%
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top-3 customers (37.0%)
Concentration risk — Customer: Sanofi
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)40.3
P/E (Fwd)8.7
Mkt Cap$10.8B
EV/EBITDA15.9
Profit Mgn8.3%
ROE4.5%
Rev Growth2.8%
Beta0.24
DividendNone
Rating analysts34

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.10bullish
IV76%elevated
Max Pain$30-45.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop-3 customers37%
    10-K Item 1: 'During 2025, 37% of our net product revenue was generated by three customers'
  • HIGHCustomerSanofi
    10-K Item 1: 'Sanofi is our sole customer for ALDURAZYME and is responsible for distributing, marketing, and selling ALDURAZYME to third parties'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.2

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 4.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $49.26Resistance $58.26

Price Targets

$51
$79
A.Upside+43.5%
A.R:R4.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BMRN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $55.10 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: top-3 customers (37.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Sanofi. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Prior stop was $51.49. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BMRN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $79.06 (+43.5% upside). Prior stop was $51.49. Stop-loss: $51.49.

What are the risks of investing in BMRN?

Concentration risk — Customer: top-3 customers (37.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Sanofi; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is BMRN overvalued or undervalued?

BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. trades at a P/E of 40.3 (forward 8.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BMRN?

34 analysts cover BMRN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $88.

What does BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. do?BioMarin Pharmaceutical develops and commercializes rare disease medicines with 8 commercial products including VOXZOGO...

BioMarin Pharmaceutical develops and commercializes rare disease medicines with 8 commercial products including VOXZOGO ($926.9M) for achondroplasia, VIMIZIM ($792.1M) for MPS IVA, and NAGLAZYME ($485.4M) for MPS VI, totaling $3.2B in 2025 revenues. Products target genetically defined small patient populations requiring high per-patient pricing with global commercialization. A pending $4.8B acquisition of Amicus Therapeutics is expected to close in Q2 2026.

Related stocks: INCY (Incyte Corporation) · ARGX (argenx SE) · AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · HALO (Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc.) · AAPG (Ascentage Pharma Group Internat)
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