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BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. (BMRN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $54.59: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Earnings in 4 days (event risk).

BioMarin Pharmaceutical is a rare disease biotech with eight commercial therapies and $3.2B in 2025 revenues; VOXZOGO (vosoritide, achondroplasia) is the largest product at $926.9M, followed by VIMIZIM ($792.1M) and NAGLAZYME ($485.4M). A pending all-cash acquisition of Amicus... Read more

$54.59+49.4% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#18 of 158 Biotechnology
Stop $51.78Target $81.15(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 9.9:1
Analyst target$90.17+65.2%24 analysts
$81.15our TP
$54.59price
$90.17mean
$120

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $54.59: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 49%
Risks
Earnings in 4 days (event risk)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.1
P/E (Fwd)8.0
Mkt Cap$10.5B
EV/EBITDA13.2
Profit Mgn10.8%
ROE5.9%
Rev Growth17.0%
Beta0.29
DividendNone
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C3.00bearish
IV58%elevated
Max Pain$48-13.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductVOXZOGO
    10-K Item 1: 'we achieved $3.2 billion in total revenues, including a significant contribution from our ongoing expansion of VOXZOGO'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MEarnings in 4 days
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5A.R:R 9.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $52.45Resistance $57.76

Price Targets

$52
$81
A.Upside+48.7%
A.R:R9.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-04 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BMRN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $54.59: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $51.78. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BMRN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $81.15 (+49.4% upside). Prior stop was $51.78. Stop-loss: $51.78.

What are the risks of investing in BMRN?

Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (2); Below 200-day MA.

Is BMRN overvalued or undervalued?

BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. trades at a P/E of 30.1 (forward 8.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BMRN?

31 analysts cover BMRN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $90.

What does BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. do?BioMarin Pharmaceutical is a rare disease biotech with eight commercial therapies and $3.2B in 2025 revenues; VOXZOGO...

BioMarin Pharmaceutical is a rare disease biotech with eight commercial therapies and $3.2B in 2025 revenues; VOXZOGO (vosoritide, achondroplasia) is the largest product at $926.9M, followed by VIMIZIM ($792.1M) and NAGLAZYME ($485.4M). A pending all-cash acquisition of Amicus Therapeutics for approximately $4.8B was announced in December 2025, adding two Fabry/Pompe disease therapies.

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