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BMMBlue Moon Metals Inc.Sell4.5·$6.54+1.40%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Blue Moon Metals offers an outsized risk/reward setup with 95% modeled upside to its analyst target, but a quality score below the investment floor, back-to-back earnings misses, and a failed momentum gate argue for caution.

Thesis pillars

  • Outsized Asymmetric UpsideStable
  • Quality Score Below Investment FloorStable
  • Consecutive Earnings MissesStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Blue Moon Metals Inc. (BMM) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.54: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10 and A.R:R 6.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Blue Moon Metals Inc. engages in the exploration and development of mineral resource properties in Norway and the United States. The company explores for zinc, silver, gold, lead, germanium, gallium, and copper deposits. Its flagship project is the 100% owned the Nussir project... Read more

$6.54+92.4% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#26 of 35 Other Industrial Metals & Mining
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield-5.45%
Stop $6.08Target $12.58(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 6.2:1
Analyst target$14.80+126.2%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.54: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10 and A.R:R 6.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 38d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Recent Developments — Blue Moon Metals Inc.

Generated 2026-07-06T23:51:40Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 13, 202638d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-27.8
Mkt Cap$676M
EV/EBITDA-9.2
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-34.4%
Rev Growth
Beta0.88
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
3.2
Current Ratio
8.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/2M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
3.2
Value Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 6.2>=5.5A.R:R 6.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 38d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $5.33Resistance $8.15

Price Targets

$6
$13
A.Upside+92.4%
A.R:R6.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (38d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BMM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.54: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10 and A.R:R 6.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $6.08. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BMM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.58 (+92.4% upside). Prior stop was $6.08. Stop-loss: $6.08.

What are the risks of investing in BMM?

Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0).

Is BMM overvalued or undervalued?

Blue Moon Metals Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -27.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BMM?

8 analysts cover BMM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Blue Moon Metals Inc. do?Blue Moon Metals Inc. engages in the exploration and development of mineral resource properties in Norway and the...

Blue Moon Metals Inc. engages in the exploration and development of mineral resource properties in Norway and the United States. The company explores for zinc, silver, gold, lead, germanium, gallium, and copper deposits. Its flagship project is the 100% owned the Nussir project located at the Finnmark county in northern Norway. The company was formerly known as Blue Moon Zinc Corp. and changed its name to Blue Moon Metals Inc. in April 2021. Blue Moon Metals Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

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