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BMBLBumble Inc.Sell5.1·$3.31+2.63%
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Bumble Inc. (BMBL) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Sell if holding. At $3.31, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-14.1% YoY), Material insider selling (30 sells, 22.72% of cap); Below 200-MA, MA slope -12.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Bumble Inc. provides online dating and social networking applications in North America, Europe, internationally. It owns and operates websites and applications that offers subscription and in-app purchases of products. The company operates apps, including Bumble, a dating app... Read more

$3.31+15.2% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#29 of 37 Internet Content & Information
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield47.17%
Stop $3.05Target $3.78(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$4.34+31.2%12 analysts
$3.78our TP
$3.31price
$4.34mean
$5

Sell if holding. At $3.31, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-14.1% YoY), Material insider selling (30 sells, 22.72% of cap); Below 200-MA, MA slope -12.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 72. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Below 200-MA, MA slope -12.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-14.1% YoY), Material insider selling (30 sells, 22.72% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)3.6
Mkt Cap$498M
EV/EBITDA3.1
Profit Mgn-71.0%
ROE-82.6%
Rev Growth-14.1%
Beta1.86
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV137%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
0.3
Support Resistance
1.9

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.3
Value Rank
8.3
GatesA.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 22.72%=EXTREMEMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.1>=4.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
72 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $2.54Resistance $3.45

Price Targets

$3
$4
A.Upside+14.2%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Insider activity: 22.72%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BMBL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $3.31, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-14.1% YoY), Material insider selling (30 sells, 22.72% of cap); Below 200-MA, MA slope -12.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 72. Prior stop was $3.05. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BMBL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $3.78 (+15.2% upside). Prior stop was $3.05. Stop-loss: $3.05.

What are the risks of investing in BMBL?

Below 200-MA, MA slope -12.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-14.1% YoY), Material insider selling (30 sells, 22.72% of cap).

Is BMBL overvalued or undervalued?

Bumble Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 3.6). TrendMatrix value score: 9.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BMBL?

21 analysts cover BMBL with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $4.

What does Bumble Inc. do?Bumble Inc. provides online dating and social networking applications in North America, Europe, internationally. It...

Bumble Inc. provides online dating and social networking applications in North America, Europe, internationally. It owns and operates websites and applications that offers subscription and in-app purchases of products. The company operates apps, including Bumble, a dating app built with women at the center; Badoo, the web and mobile free-to-use dating app; Bumble BFF, a friendship and community app that combines one-to-one matching with group discovery and participation. The company was incorporated in 2020 in and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.

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