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BLSMBlossomHill Therapeutics, Inc.Sell5.1·$13.94
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

BlossomHill is a pre-revenue biotech where insiders bought $25.2M (4.532% of market cap) while the shares sit in capitulation-style selling and the latest quarterly loss far exceeded estimates.

Thesis pillars

  • Binary Biotech Risk→Stable
  • Heavy Insider Buying↓Deteriorating
  • Widening Quarterly Loss→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

BlossomHill Therapeutics, Inc. (BLSM) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5QualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.94: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 8.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

BlossomHill Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops small molecule medicines that address medical needs in cancer treatment. Its pipeline includes BH-30643, an OMNI-EGFR inhibitor in clinical development for advanced EGFR-mutant non-small cell... Read more

$13.94+120.9% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#133 of 241 Biotechnology
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $12.96Analyst target $30.80(−13% haircut)A.R:R 8.1:1
Analyst consensus$35.40+153.9%5 analysts
$30.80Analyst target
$13.94price
$35.40mean
$40

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.94: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 8.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 19, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 28d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-19

Recent Developments — BlossomHill Therapeutics, Inc.

Generated 2026-10-19T11:47:19Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 16, 202628d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -39.6%), Material insider selling (22 sells, 1.00% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-3.5
Mkt Cap$443M
EV/EBITDA-7.4
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE—
Rev Growth—
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts5

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings Timing
5.0

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.5
Rsi
3.0
Volume
6.1
Capitulation risk (RSI 19, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.5
Current Ratio
7.6
Quality concerns
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5INSIDER UNAVAILABLEA.R:R 8.1 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 28d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Speculative
RSI
19 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $13.31Resistance $27.99

Price Targets

$13
$31
A.Upside+120.9%
A.R:R8.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -39.6%), Material insider selling (22 sells, 1.00% of cap)
! momentum at 2.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-16 (28d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BLSM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.94: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 8.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 19, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $12.96. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BLSM stock price target?

Analyst target: $30.80 (+120.9% upside). Prior stop was $12.96. Stop-loss: $12.96.

What are the risks of investing in BLSM?

Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -39.6%), Material insider selling (22 sells, 1.00% of cap).

Is BLSM overvalued or undervalued?

BlossomHill Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -3.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

0
What does BlossomHill Therapeutics, Inc. do?BlossomHill Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops small molecule medicines that...

BlossomHill Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops small molecule medicines that address medical needs in cancer treatment. Its pipeline includes BH-30643, an OMNI-EGFR inhibitor in clinical development for advanced EGFR-mutant non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), BH-501284, and BH-30236, a macrocyclic CLK (Cdc2-like kinase) inhibitor being evaluated in patients with relapsed or refractory acute myeloid leukemia (R/R AML) and higher-risk myelodysplastic syndrome (HR-MDS). BlossomHill Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2020 and is based in San Diego, California.

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