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BEPBrookfield Renewable Partners LSell4.5·$28.35
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Brookfield Renewable Partners combines a high distribution yield with a quality profile well below the investment floor, free cash flow that is deeply and extensively negative relative to net income, and failing price momentum — the technical and fundamental picture is broadly aligned against entry, with the yield flagged as potentially unsafe.

Thesis pillars

  • Extreme Fcf Quality Failure→Stable
  • Momentum Breakdown Failed Gate→Stable
  • Yield Trap Distribution Safety→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Brookfield Renewable Partners L (BEP) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Renewable

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.35: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P. owns a portfolio of renewable power generating facilities in the North America, Colombia, and Brazil. The company generates electricity through hydroelectric, wind, solar, distributed generation, and pumped storage; and offers sustainable... Read more

$28.35+7.6% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#11 of 12 Utilities - Renewable
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-86.84%
IncomeYield5.39%(5y avg 4.87%)Payout649.02%at-risk
Stop $27.12Target $30.52(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$35.08+23.7%13 analysts
$30.52our TP
$28.35price
$35.08mean
$20
$42

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.35: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 39d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202639d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-15.1
Mkt Cap$13.8B
EV/EBITDA27.0
Profit Mgn-1.3%
ROE0.4%
Rev Growth1.1%
Beta0.98
Dividend5.39%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.17bullish
IV37%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.1
Macd
1.5
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 28, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.8
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Unprofitable operations — net margin -1.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roe
0.1
Roa
0.3
Current Ratio
3.2
Moat
5.2
Gross Margin
6.3
Piotroski F
6.7
Operating Margin
6.8
Cash-burning: FCF -188% of revenueNo competitive moat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.9
Quality Rank
3.2
Value Rank
3.6
GatesMomentum 1.8<4.5A.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 39d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
28 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $27.96Resistance $32.63

Price Targets

$27
$31
A.Upside+7.6%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
! momentum at 1.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (39d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BEP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.35: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $27.12. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BEP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $30.52 (+7.6% upside). Prior stop was $27.12. Stop-loss: $27.12.

What are the risks of investing in BEP?

Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Is BEP overvalued or undervalued?

Brookfield Renewable Partners L trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -15.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BEP?

16 analysts cover BEP with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $35.

What does Brookfield Renewable Partners L do?Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P. owns a portfolio of renewable power generating facilities in the North America,...

Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P. owns a portfolio of renewable power generating facilities in the North America, Colombia, and Brazil. The company generates electricity through hydroelectric, wind, solar, distributed generation, and pumped storage; and offers sustainable solutions, such as renewable natural gas, carbon capture and storage, recycling, cogeneration, biomass, nuclear services, eFuels, and power transformation. It operates as the general partner of Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P. The company was formerly known as Brookfield Renewable Energy Partners L.P. and changed its name to Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P. in May 2016. The company was founded in 1999 and is based in Toronto, Canada.

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