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BANRBanner CorporationSell5.6·$71.39
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Banner Corporation is attractively valued (forward P/E 10.4x, PEG 0.77) with strong margins and a breakout setup, but the price is 4.3% above the analyst target and EPS missed estimates in the last 2 quarters.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Margins No Moat→Stable
  • Attractive Regional Bank Valuation→Stable
  • Price Above Analyst Target→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Banner Corporation (BANR) Stock Analysis

SellValueModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $71.39 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.6% away).

Banner Corporation operates Banner Bank from 135 branches and 15 loan production offices across Washington, Oregon, California, Idaho, Utah, and Nevada, with $16.35 billion in total assets, $11.56 billion in net loans, and $13.74 billion in deposits at December 31, 2025. The... Read more

$71.39-7.2% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#143 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield2.89%(5y avg 3.15%)Payout33.00%sustainable
Stop $67.67Analyst target $66.27(reached)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst consensus$76.17+6.7%6 analysts with price targets
$71.39price
$76.17mean
$70
$81

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $71.39 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.6% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Banner Corporation

About Banner Corporation

Banner Bank served customers from 135 branch offices and 15 loan production offices across Washington, Oregon, California, Idaho, Utah, and Nevada at December 31, 2025, when Banner Corporation reported $16.35 billion in total consolidated assets, $13.74 billion in total deposits, and $11.56 billion in net loans. The bank, regulated by Washington's DFI and the FDIC, focuses primarily on small- to medium-sized businesses, agricultural borrowers, and individual clients in the Pacific Northwest and California.

Banner earns primarily through net interest income, with the loan portfolio weighted toward commercial and multifamily real estate at 42% of total loans ($4.90 billion), commercial business loans at 21% ($2.41 billion), construction and land at 15% ($1.71 billion), and one-to-four family residential at 13% ($1.57 billion). Agricultural loans, at 3% ($353.2 million), add exposure to weather, disease, and commodity price cycles common to Pacific Northwest farm economies. Mortgage banking revenue supplements interest income through origination and sale of one-to-four family loans to secondary market purchasers; Banner serviced $3.14 billion of loans for others at December 31, 2025. Deposits are primarily core, sourced from commercial and retail relationships across the franchise, supplemented by FHLB advances from the Federal Home Loan Bank of Des Moines.

Show full overview

The commercial and multifamily real estate portfolio of $4.90 billion — 42% of total loans — carries concentrated balloon-payment risk: many of these loans are not fully amortizing, requiring borrowers to sell or refinance at maturity. The filing notes that demand for office space in certain markets has remained structurally lower than pre-pandemic levels, while Federal banking regulators have increased supervisory focus on CRE exposures, including refinancing risk and collateral valuation. The geographic footprint compounds this exposure: all branches and most deposit clients are in Washington, Oregon, California, and Idaho, linking Banner's credit performance closely to Pacific Northwest economic cycles.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From Banner Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

No fresh coverage since Oct 21, 2026

Recent Developments — Banner Corporation

Latest item Oct 21, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:49:09Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jan 20, 202776d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.6% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.2
P/E (Fwd)10.8
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn29.9%
ROE10.0%
Rev Growth3.8%
Beta0.82
Dividend2.89%
Analysts with ratings13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.21bullish
IV51%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMloan_portfoliocommercial and multifamily real estate loans42%
    10-K Item 1A: 'commercial and multifamily real estate loans were $4.90 billion, or 42% of our total loan portfolio'
  • MEDIUMGeographicPuget Sound region and Eastern Washington
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our client base is highly concentrated in the Puget Sound region and Eastern Washington'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 8.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
70 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $65.07Resistance $72.98

Price Targets

A.Upside-7.2%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.2% upside)
! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-20 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BANR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $71.39 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.6% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $67.67. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BANR stock price target?

Analyst target $66.27 reached (−7.2% from $71.39); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $67.67. Stop-loss: $67.67.

What are the risks of investing in BANR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.6% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Is BANR overvalued or undervalued?

Banner Corporation trades at a P/E of 12.2 (forward 10.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BANR?

13 analysts rate BANR, with a consensus score of 3.8/5. 6 analysts publish price targets averaging $76.

What does Banner Corporation do?Banner Corporation operates Banner Bank from 135 branches and 15 loan production offices across Washington, Oregon,...

Banner Corporation operates Banner Bank from 135 branches and 15 loan production offices across Washington, Oregon, California, Idaho, Utah, and Nevada, with $16.35 billion in total assets, $11.56 billion in net loans, and $13.74 billion in deposits at December 31, 2025. The bank earns primarily through net interest income from commercial real estate, business, agricultural, and residential loans to small- to medium-sized businesses and individuals.

Related stocks: MBIN (Merchants Bancorp) · BWFG (Bankwell Financial Group, Inc.) · GCBC (Greene County Bancorp, Inc.) · FMNB (Farmers National Banc Corp.) · MCBS (MetroCity Bankshares, Inc.)
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