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Asana, Inc. (ASAN) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.18: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 2.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 32%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Asana provides a cloud-based work management SaaS platform serving 180,000+ paying customers in 200 countries, with 25,928 Core customers (spending $5,000+/yr) as of Jan 31, 2026. Revenue is substantially all from seat-based subscriptions to its single core platform; net loss... Read more

$6.18+40.3% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#55 of 96 Software - Application
Stop $5.71Target $8.62(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.8:1
Analyst target$9.90+60.3%13 analysts
$8.62our TP
$6.18price
$9.90mean
$15

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.18: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 2.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 32%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: single software solution
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)14.0
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA-9.0
Profit Mgn-23.9%
ROE-99.1%
Rev Growth9.2%
Beta1.08
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.93neutral
IV139%elevated
Max Pain$11+78.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductsingle software solution
    10-K Item 1A: 'We derive substantially all of our revenues from a single software solution and products available as add-ons to that solution.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-20Item 5.02LOW
    Directors Matt Cohler, Adam D'Angelo, and Lorrie Norrington tendered resignations effective at the 2026 Annual Meeting (June 8, 2026) as part of board refreshment. No disagreements with the company cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-02Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO Sonalee Parekh resigned effective March 23, 2026; no disagreement with company. Aziz Megji (Head of FP&A since Dec 2024) appointed CFO effective March 24, 2026. Clean handoff.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.2
Growth Rank
2.6
Value Rank
8.2

Unprofitable operations — net margin -23.9%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Current Ratio
4.6
Moat
5.0
Rule Of 40
5.5
Piotroski F
5.6
Fcf Quality
8.3
Gross Margin
10.0
FCF-positive despite GAAP loss (FCF margin 21%, FCF yield 11.1%)No competitive moat

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
4.5
Support Resistance
4.9
Gap
6.0
GatesMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.1>=4.5A.R:R 2.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.38Resistance $6.89

Price Targets

$6
$9
A.Upside+39.5%
A.R:R2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-03 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ASAN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.18: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 2.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 32%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Prior stop was $5.71. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ASAN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.62 (+40.3% upside). Prior stop was $5.71. Stop-loss: $5.71.

What are the risks of investing in ASAN?

Concentration risk — Product: single software solution; Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Is ASAN overvalued or undervalued?

Asana, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 14.0). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ASAN?

22 analysts cover ASAN with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Asana, Inc. do?Asana provides a cloud-based work management SaaS platform serving 180,000+ paying customers in 200 countries, with...

Asana provides a cloud-based work management SaaS platform serving 180,000+ paying customers in 200 countries, with 25,928 Core customers (spending $5,000+/yr) as of Jan 31, 2026. Revenue is substantially all from seat-based subscriptions to its single core platform; net loss was $189M for fiscal 2026.

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