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Apogee Therapeutics, Inc. (APGE) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $82.18: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 3.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Apogee Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotech developing extended half-life antibodies for inflammatory and immunology conditions. Lead program zumilokibart (APG777, anti-IL13) completed Phase 2b Part A for atopic dermatitis with positive results and is pursuing Phase 3... Read more

$82.18+31.8% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#83 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-2.42%
Stop $76.04Target $107.72(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.5:1
Analyst target$119.69+45.6%16 analysts
$107.72our TP
$82.18price
$119.69mean
$160

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $82.18: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 3.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Apogee Therapeutics, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Pipeline: zumilokibart
Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-15.0
Mkt Cap$5.9B
EV/EBITDA-15.9
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-28.5%
Rev Growth
Beta0.69
DividendNone
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.24bullish
IV80%elevated
Max Pain$55-33.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHpipelinezumilokibart
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are substantially dependent on the success of our product candidates, zumilokibart, APG279, APG273, APG990, APG333 and APG808 and our ongoing and anticipated trials may not be successful.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-24Item 5.02LOW
    Directors Andrew Gottesdiener, M.D. and Peter Harwin notified the Board of their intention to resign effective May 11, 2026. Board size reduced from nine to seven. No disagreement with Company on any matter.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Moat
4.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatQuality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R 3.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $75.77Resistance $91.53

Price Targets

$76
$108
A.Upside+31.1%
A.R:R3.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is APGE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $82.18: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 3.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $76.04. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the APGE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $107.72 (+31.8% upside). Prior stop was $76.04. Stop-loss: $76.04.

What are the risks of investing in APGE?

Concentration risk — Pipeline: zumilokibart; Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0).

Is APGE overvalued or undervalued?

Apogee Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -15.0). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about APGE?

23 analysts cover APGE with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $120.

What does Apogee Therapeutics, Inc. do?Apogee Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotech developing extended half-life antibodies for inflammatory and...

Apogee Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotech developing extended half-life antibodies for inflammatory and immunology conditions. Lead program zumilokibart (APG777, anti-IL13) completed Phase 2b Part A for atopic dermatitis with positive results and is pursuing Phase 3 initiation in 2H 2026; additional programs APG808 (anti-IL4Rα), APG279, and APG273 are in Phase 1–2.

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