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AORTArtivion, Inc.Sell5.2·$21.53
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Artivion's medical device franchise carries analyst consensus targets implying more than 73% upside from current levels and a risk/reward ratio of roughly 10-to-1 in favor of the bull case, but the near-term picture is complicated by a recent 35% earnings miss, free cash flow that is negative relative to net income, a confirmed price downtrend, and eight disclosed supplier concentration vulnerabilities including sole manufacturers for key product families.

Thesis pillars

  • Large Consensus Implied Upside→Stable
  • Above Peer Growth Profile→Stable
  • Negative Free Cash Flow Risk→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Artivion, Inc. (AORT) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $21.53: Concentration risk — Supplier: Endospan (NEXUS family); Concentration risk — Supplier: AMDS sole manufacturer.

Artivion manufactures medical devices and processes implantable human tissues for cardiac and vascular surgery, with segments spanning Medical Devices (aortic stent grafts, On-X valves, BioGlue sealant) and Preservation Services. Products are sold globally across North America,... Read more

$21.53+70.3% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#47 of 62 Medical Devices
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.26%
Stop $20.02Target $36.67(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 8.1:1
Analyst target$42.15+95.8%8 analysts
$36.67our TP
$21.53price
$42.15mean
$48

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $21.53: Concentration risk — Supplier: Endospan (NEXUS family); Concentration risk — Supplier: AMDS sole manufacturer. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 22d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202622d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Analyst upside: 70%
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Endospan (NEXUS family)
Concentration risk — Supplier: AMDS sole manufacturer
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)28.5
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA21.5
Profit Mgn-0.7%
ROE-0.7%
Rev Growth11.3%
Beta1.22
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.25bearish
IV345%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierEndospan (NEXUS family)
    10-K Item 1A: 'the NEXUS family of products are solely manufactured by Endospan in Herzliya, Israel'
  • HIGHSupplierAMDS sole manufacturer
    10-K Item 1A: 'The AMDS product is solely manufactured by a supplier in Charlotte, North Carolina'
  • HIGHSupplierBioGlue single-supplier delivery devices
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are significantly dependent on our revenues from BioGlue ... The delivery devices are manufactured by a single supplier, using resin supplied by a different single supplier'
  • HIGHSupplierOn-X AAP single-supplier grafts
    10-K Item 1A: 'We purchase grafts for our On-X AAP from a single supplier'
  • MEDIUMProductBioGlue
    10-K Item 1A: 'BioGlue is a significant source of our revenues'
  • MEDIUMProductOn-X products
    10-K Item 1A: 'On-X products are a significant source of our revenues'
  • MEDIUMProductaortic stent grafts
    10-K Item 1A: 'Aortic stent grafts are a significant source of our revenues'
  • MEDIUMProducttissue preservation services
    10-K Item 1A: 'Tissue preservation services are a significant source of our revenues'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)INSIDER 0.25%=MODERATEMomentum 4.6>=4.5A.R:R 8.1 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 22d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
35 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $20.21Resistance $25.14

Price Targets

$20
$37
A.Upside+70.3%
A.R:R8.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (22d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AORT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $21.53: Concentration risk — Supplier: Endospan (NEXUS family); Concentration risk — Supplier: AMDS sole manufacturer. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $20.02. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AORT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.67 (+70.3% upside). Prior stop was $20.02. Stop-loss: $20.02.

What are the risks of investing in AORT?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Endospan (NEXUS family); Concentration risk — Supplier: AMDS sole manufacturer; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7).

Is AORT overvalued or undervalued?

Artivion, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 28.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AORT?

14 analysts cover AORT with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $42.

What does Artivion, Inc. do?Artivion manufactures medical devices and processes implantable human tissues for cardiac and vascular surgery, with...

Artivion manufactures medical devices and processes implantable human tissues for cardiac and vascular surgery, with segments spanning Medical Devices (aortic stent grafts, On-X valves, BioGlue sealant) and Preservation Services. Products are sold globally across North America, EMEA, APAC, and LATAM from facilities in Georgia, Texas, and Germany. BioGlue, On-X products, aortic stent grafts, and tissue preservation services are each individually characterized as significant revenue sources.

Related stocks: GMED (Globus Medical, Inc.) · LIVN (LivaNova PLC) · PODD (Insulet Corporation) · TCMD (Tactile Systems Technology, Inc) · ATEC (Alphatec Holdings, Inc.)
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